Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

HNL · Croatia

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 16:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 11/09.

Istra 1961

3-2full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 1–2

Rudes

What Janus-12 said

79%

Istra 1961 or draw

81% success over 21 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Istra 1961 or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 13/09, 16:00announced on 29/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

57% success over 21 matches in this league
54%✓
53% success over 19 matches in this league
55%✗

HNL

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	HNK Hajduk Split	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	NK Osijek	8	5	1	2	+6	16
4	NK Varazdin	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	HNK Rijeka	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Istra 1961	8	2	3	3	+1	9
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	8	2	1	5	-5	7
8	NK Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	-9	7
9	HNK Gorica	8	1	2	5	-7	5
10	Rudes	8	1	1	6	-14	4

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Istra 1961 or draw79%held
- Istra 1961 took the lead in the 11th minute and never let it go.
- Istra 1961 took control early: opening goal in the 11th minute.
Istra 1961 to win54%held
Draw or Rudes ahead at half-time55%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 11′ Istra 1961, 28′ Istra 1961.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableIstra 1961 6th, Rudes 10th (HNL)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Istra 1961 (1-0)
During the match28′ Istra 1961 go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match89′ last goal, Rudes

What it changes

In this league, “Istra 1961 or draw” goes from 81% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Istra 1961 on the left, Rudes on the right.

First half

11'Penalty goal · Emil Frederiksen
28'Goal · Emil Frederiksen (assist : Nik Skafar Zuzic)
Yellow card · Marko Stolnik35'
Substitution · Toni Kolega ⇄ Lenny Ilecic45'
Substitution · Noa skoko ⇄ Cheick Tidiane Diabaté45'

Half-time2 - 0

Second half

58'Yellow card · hamza jaganjac
58'Goal · Emil Frederiksen (assist : Dukan Ahmeti)
65'Substitution · hamza jaganjac ⇄ Isaac Aguiar Tomich
66'Substitution · Nik Skafar Zuzic ⇄ vinko rozic
Substitution · Xavier Cabrita Fernandes ⇄ Vid Seitz67'
Substitution · Saad El Haddad ⇄ Jurica Poldrugac67'
Yellow card · Lovre Rogić70'
73'Substitution · vinko rozic ⇄ Stipe Ukich
Substitution · Marko Stolnik ⇄ Vedran Celjak77'
82'Substitution · Emil Frederiksen ⇄ Matija Kablar
82'Substitution · Rene Hrvatin ⇄ Advan Kadušić
Goal · cherno saho85'
Goal · Lenny Ilecic (assist : Vid Seitz)89'

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Istra 1961 or draw79%held
- Istra 1961 took the lead in the 11th minute and never let it go.
- Istra 1961 took control early: opening goal in the 11th minute.
Istra 1961 to win54%held
Draw or Rudes ahead at half-time55%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 11′ Istra 1961, 28′ Istra 1961.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableIstra 1961 6th, Rudes 10th (HNL)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Istra 1961 (1-0)
During the match28′ Istra 1961 go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match89′ last goal, Rudes

What it changes

In this league, “Istra 1961 or draw” goes from 81% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

HNL

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes