Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

HNL · Croatia

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 5 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

HNK Rijeka

4–1full timeHT 3–1 · 2H 1–0

NK Osijek

What Janus-12 said

76%

HNK Rijeka or draw

88% success over 16 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: HNK Rijeka or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 05/09, 20:00announced on 22/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

50% success over 14 matches in this league
67%✗

HNL

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	HNK Hajduk Split	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	NK Osijek	8	5	1	2	+6	16
4	NK Varazdin	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	HNK Rijeka	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Istra 1961	8	2	3	3	+1	9
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	8	2	1	5	-5	7
8	NK Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	-9	7
9	HNK Gorica	8	1	2	5	-7	5
10	Rudes	8	1	1	6	-14	4

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

HNK Rijeka or draw76%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 14 shots on target for HNK Rijeka against 3.
- HNK Rijeka took control early: opening goal in the 21st minute.
Draw or NK Osijek ahead at half-time67%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-1 at half-time, 15′ NK Osijek, 21′ HNK Rijeka, 33′ HNK Rijeka, 43′ HNK Rijeka.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHNK Rijeka 5th, NK Osijek 3rd (HNL)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, NK Osijek (0-1)
During the match21′ equaliser, HNK Rijeka (1-1)
During the match33′ turnaround, HNK Rijeka go ahead (2-1)
During the match43′ turnaround, HNK Rijeka go ahead (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match61′ turnaround, HNK Rijeka go ahead (4-1)

What it changes

In this league, “HNK Rijeka or draw” goes from 87.5% to 88.2% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

HNK Rijeka on the left, NK Osijek on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Jona Ježić11'
Goal · Armando León (assist : Admir ljatifi)15'
21'Goal · Samuele Vignato (assist : D. Adu-Adjei)
33'Goal · D. Adu-Adjei (assist : Toni Fruk)
43'Goal · D. Adu-Adjei (assist : Toni Fruk)
Substitution · Senad mustafic ⇄ Luka Posavec45'
Substitution · Marcel Heister ⇄ David Kalem45'
Substitution · Jona Ježić ⇄ Simun Mikolcic45'
Yellow card · Domagoj Bukvic45+2'

Half-time3 – 1

Second half

Substitution · ivano kolarik ⇄ Izak Ježić58'
61'Goal · Toni Fruk (assist : Samuele Vignato)
Substitution · Ivan Dolček ⇄ Ivan Barić65'
69'Substitution · Samuele Vignato ⇄ Amer Gojak
79'Substitution · Toni Fruk ⇄ Ante Matej Juric
80'Substitution · D. Adu-Adjei ⇄ Mohammad Mohebbi
85'Substitution · Ivan Cubelic ⇄ Goran Grulovic
85'Substitution · Tiago Dantas ⇄ Alfonso Barco

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

HNK Rijeka or draw76%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 14 shots on target for HNK Rijeka against 3.
- HNK Rijeka took control early: opening goal in the 21st minute.
Draw or NK Osijek ahead at half-time67%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-1 at half-time, 15′ NK Osijek, 21′ HNK Rijeka, 33′ HNK Rijeka, 43′ HNK Rijeka.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHNK Rijeka 5th, NK Osijek 3rd (HNL)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, NK Osijek (0-1)
During the match21′ equaliser, HNK Rijeka (1-1)
During the match33′ turnaround, HNK Rijeka go ahead (2-1)
During the match43′ turnaround, HNK Rijeka go ahead (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match61′ turnaround, HNK Rijeka go ahead (4-1)

What it changes

In this league, “HNK Rijeka or draw” goes from 87.5% to 88.2% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

HNL

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes