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Janus-12

1. Liga · Latvia

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Smiltene

4–1full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 2–0

Riga Mariners

What Janus-12 said

91%

Draw or Riga Mariners ahead at half-time

100% success over 12 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 9 %

A prediction at 91 % fails 9 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Riga Mariners ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 05:31.

Sealed on 12/09, 12:00announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

83% success over 12 matches in this league
59%✓
81% success over 21 matches in this league
95%✗
80% success over 5 matches in this league
50%✓
67% success over 21 matches in this league
85%✗

1. Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Metta / LU	21	17	3	1	+72	54
2	Valmiera / BSS	21	16	3	2	+37	51
3	Leevon / PPK	21	15	4	2	+18	49
4	Riga Mariners	21	14	5	2	+27	47
5	JDFS Alberts	21	11	4	6	+11	37
6	Mārupe	21	9	2	10	+2	29
7	Skanste	21	8	2	11	+1	26
8	Riga FC II	21	7	5	9	-8	26
9	Super Nova 2	21	6	7	8	-4	25
10	Tukums II	21	5	3	13	-33	18
11	Smiltene	21	4	4	13	-28	16
12	JFK Ventspils	21	3	6	12	-20	15
13	Rīgas FS II	21	4	3	14	-28	15
14	Rēzekne FA	21	1	3	17	-47	6

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Riga Mariners ahead at half-time91%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 8′ Smiltene, 24′ Smiltene, 42′ Riga Mariners.
Over 3.5 goals59%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 8th minute, 5 in total.
Draw or Riga Mariners95%lost
- Riga Mariners chased the score almost all match: Smiltene scored as early as the 8th minute.
Over 4.5 goals50%held
Riga Mariners to win85%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSmiltene 11th, Riga Mariners 4th (1. Liga)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Smiltene (1-0)
During the match24′ Smiltene go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Riga Mariners ahead at half-time” goes from 100% to 92.3% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Riga Mariners ahead at half-time91%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 8′ Smiltene, 24′ Smiltene, 42′ Riga Mariners.
Over 3.5 goals59%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 8th minute, 5 in total.
Draw or Riga Mariners95%lost
- Riga Mariners chased the score almost all match: Smiltene scored as early as the 8th minute.
Over 4.5 goals50%held
Riga Mariners to win85%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSmiltene 11th, Riga Mariners 4th (1. Liga)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Smiltene (1-0)
During the match24′ Smiltene go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Riga Mariners ahead at half-time” goes from 100% to 92.3% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

1. Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes