Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Liga · Latvia

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Saturday 5 September at 15:30. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Riga Mariners

5-0full timeHT 3–0 · 2H 2–0

Rēzekne FA

What Janus-12 said

77%

Over 3.5 goals

89% success over 9 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Over 3.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 14:01.

Sealed on 05/09, 15:30announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 7 matches in this league
78%✓
81% success over 16 matches in this league
95%✓
75% success over 16 matches in this league
89%✓
75% success over 4 matches in this league
58%✓

1. Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Metta / LU	21	17	3	1	+72	54
2	Valmiera / BSS	21	16	3	2	+37	51
3	Leevon / PPK	21	15	4	2	+18	49
4	Riga Mariners	21	14	5	2	+27	47
5	JDFS Alberts	21	11	4	6	+11	37
6	Mārupe	21	9	2	10	+2	29
7	Skanste	21	8	2	11	+1	26
8	Riga FC II	21	7	5	9	-8	26
9	Super Nova 2	21	6	7	8	-4	25
10	Tukums II	21	5	3	13	-33	18
11	Smiltene	21	4	4	13	-28	16
12	JFK Ventspils	21	3	6	12	-20	15
13	Rīgas FS II	21	4	3	14	-28	15
14	Rēzekne FA	21	1	3	17	-47	6

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 3.5 goals77%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 18th minute, 5 in total.
Riga Mariners ahead at half-time78%held
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 18′ Riga Mariners, 26′ Riga Mariners, 39′ Riga Mariners.
Riga Mariners or draw95%held
- Riga Mariners took the lead in the 18th minute and never let it go.
- Riga Mariners took control early: opening goal in the 18th minute.
Riga Mariners to win89%held
Over 4.5 goals58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRiga Mariners 4th, Rēzekne FA 14th (1. Liga)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, Riga Mariners (1-0)
During the match26′ Riga Mariners go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match85′ last goal, Riga Mariners

What it changes

In this league, “Over 3.5 goals” goes from 88.9% to 90% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 3.5 goals77%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 18th minute, 5 in total.
Riga Mariners ahead at half-time78%held
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 18′ Riga Mariners, 26′ Riga Mariners, 39′ Riga Mariners.
Riga Mariners or draw95%held
- Riga Mariners took the lead in the 18th minute and never let it go.
- Riga Mariners took control early: opening goal in the 18th minute.
Riga Mariners to win89%held
Over 4.5 goals58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRiga Mariners 4th, Rēzekne FA 14th (1. Liga)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, Riga Mariners (1-0)
During the match26′ Riga Mariners go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match85′ last goal, Riga Mariners

What it changes

In this league, “Over 3.5 goals” goes from 88.9% to 90% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

1. Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes