Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Spain

3–1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 1–1

Czechia

What Janus-12 said

95%

Spain or draw

73% success over 22 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Spain or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 2 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

45% success over 22 matches in this league
85%✓

League A - Group C

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	L	Diff	Pts
1	Spain	3	3	0	+6	9
2	England	3	2	1	+8	6
3	Croatia	3	1	2	-9	3
4	Czechia	3	0	3	-5	0

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Spain or draw95%held
- Czechia played 5 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 85th minute.
- Spain took the lead in the 6th minute and never let it go.
Spain to win85%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSpain 1st, Czechia 4th (League A - Group C)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Spain (1-0)
During the match35′ Spain go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match85′ sending-off, Czechia (Ladislav Krejčí)
During the match89′ last goal, Spain
Line-up89′ the goal came off the bench: Mikel Merino (Spain)

What it changes

In this league, “Spain or draw” goes from 72.7% to 73.9% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,361 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Spain on the left, Czechia on the right.

First half

6'Goal · Lamine Yamal (assist : Daniel Olmo Carvajal)
35'Goal · Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante
45'Substitution · Alejandro Baena Rodríguez ⇄ Yeremy Pino
45'Substitution · Lamine Yamal ⇄ Víctor Muñoz

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Lukas Ambros ⇄ Ryan Naderi57'
Substitution · Roman Macek ⇄ Lukáš Červ57'
67'Substitution · Daniel Olmo Carvajal ⇄ Fermín López
67'Substitution · Pedri ⇄ Mikel Merino
Goal · Jiri Slama (assist : Adam Hložek)69'
Substitution · Alex Král ⇄ Michal Sadílek73'
Substitution · Matej Radosta ⇄ Pavel Bucha73'
77'Substitution · Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante ⇄ Martín Zubimendi
Yellow card · Ladislav Krejčí79'
Yellow card · Michal Sadílek82'
Red card · Ladislav Krejčí85'
Yellow card · Santiago Denia Sánchez85'
Substitution · Adam Hložek ⇄ Martin Vitik87'
Yellow card · Ondrej Lingr89'
89'Goal · Mikel Merino
Yellow card · Stepan Chaloupek90'
Yellow card · Antonin Kinsky90+1'
90+3'Yellow card · Fermín López

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Spain or draw95%held
- Czechia played 5 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 85th minute.
- Spain took the lead in the 6th minute and never let it go.
Spain to win85%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSpain 1st, Czechia 4th (League A - Group C)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Spain (1-0)
During the match35′ Spain go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match85′ sending-off, Czechia (Ladislav Krejčí)
During the match89′ last goal, Spain
Line-up89′ the goal came off the bench: Mikel Merino (Spain)

What it changes

In this league, “Spain or draw” goes from 72.7% to 73.9% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,361 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League A - Group C

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes