Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Belarus

4-0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 4–0

San Marino

What Janus-12 said

96%

Belarus or draw

72% success over 18 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Belarus or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 17:00announced on 01/10/2026, 1 day before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

39% success over 18 matches in this league
89%✓

League C - Group A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Albania	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Belarus	4	2	1	1	+3	7
3	Finland	4	2	1	1	+7	7
4	San Marino	4	0	0	4	-15	0

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Belarus or draw96%held
- Belarus took the lead in the 46th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Belarus against 4.
Belarus to win89%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBelarus 2nd, San Marino 4th (League C - Group A)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match46′ opening goal, Belarus (1-0)
During the match65′ Belarus go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Belarus

What it changes

In this league, “Belarus or draw” goes from 72.2% to 73.7% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Belarus on the left, San Marino on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Nicola Nanni30'
Yellow card · Alessandro Golinucci42'
Substitution · Alessandro Golinucci ⇄ Marcello Mularoni45'
45'Substitution · Timofey Simanenka ⇄ Vitali Lisakovich

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

46'Goal · Artem Kontsevoy (assist : Kirill Pechenin)
54'Yellow card · Roman Begunov
55'Substitution · Roman Begunov ⇄ vladislav kalinin
55'Substitution · Valeri Gromyko ⇄ Artem Shumanskiy
Yellow card · Nicholas Giacopetti57'
65'Goal · Artem Shumanskiy (assist : Kirill Pechenin)
Substitution · S. Giocondi ⇄ Alessandro Tosi67'
Substitution · Lorenzo Lazzari ⇄ Samuel·Pancotti67'
68'Goal · Max Ebong (assist : Kirill Pechenin)
69'Substitution · Max Ebong ⇄ Valery Bocherov
Yellow card · Lorenzo·Capicchioni73'
74'Substitution · Trofim Melnichenko ⇄ German Barkovskiy
Substitution · giacomo benvenuti ⇄ F. Fabbri75'
Yellow card · Marco pasolini78'
Substitution · Lorenzo·Capicchioni ⇄ C. Meloni83'
85'Yellow card · German Barkovskiy
86'Yellow card · vladislav kalinin
88'Goal · Artem Kontsevoy (assist : Artem Shumanskiy)

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Belarus or draw96%held
- Belarus took the lead in the 46th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Belarus against 4.
Belarus to win89%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBelarus 2nd, San Marino 4th (League C - Group A)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match46′ opening goal, Belarus (1-0)
During the match65′ Belarus go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Belarus

What it changes

In this league, “Belarus or draw” goes from 72.2% to 73.7% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League C - Group A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes