Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Croatia

0–7full timeHT 0–4 · 2H 0–3

England

What Janus-12 said

75%

Croatia or England

72% success over 18 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Croatia or England

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 17:00announced on 01/10/2026, 1 day before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

39% success over 18 matches in this league
50%✓

League A - Group C

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	L	Diff	Pts
1	Spain	3	3	0	+6	9
2	England	3	2	1	+8	6
3	Croatia	3	1	2	-9	3
4	Czechia	3	0	3	-5	0

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Croatia or England75%held
England to win50%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for England against 1.
- England took the lead in the 8th minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCroatia 3rd, England 2nd (League A - Group C)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, England (0-1)
During the match21′ England go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-4
During the match87′ last goal, England

What it changes

In this league, “Croatia or England” goes from 72.2% to 73.7% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Croatia on the left, England on the right.

First half

Goal · Harry Kane (assist : Jude Bellingham)8'
Goal · Jude Bellingham (assist : Anthony Gordon)21'
Goal · Anthony Gordon (assist : Jarell Quansah)39'
Goal · Bukayo Saka (assist : Jude Bellingham)45'
45'Substitution · Petar Musa ⇄ Igor Matanovic
45'Substitution · Petar Sučić ⇄ Mario Pašalić
45'Substitution · Martin Baturina ⇄ Nikola Vlašić

Half-time0 – 4

Second half

Goal · Harry Kane (assist : Elliot Anderson)53'
57'Substitution · Luka Modrić ⇄ Kristijan Jakić
Goal · Bukayo Saka (assist : Harry Kane)68'
68'Yellow card · Mateo Kovačić
Substitution · Anthony Gordon ⇄ Eberechi Eze70'
Substitution · Alex Scott ⇄ James Garner70'
Substitution · Harry Kane ⇄ Morgan Rogers70'
76'Substitution · Josip Stanišić ⇄ Josip Šutalo
Substitution · Elliot Anderson ⇄ Morgan Gibbs-White79'
Substitution · Lewis Hall ⇄ Myles Lewis-Skelly79'
Goal · Morgan Rogers (assist : Jude Bellingham)87'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Croatia or England75%held
England to win50%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for England against 1.
- England took the lead in the 8th minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCroatia 3rd, England 2nd (League A - Group C)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, England (0-1)
During the match21′ England go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-4
During the match87′ last goal, England

What it changes

In this league, “Croatia or England” goes from 72.2% to 73.7% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League A - Group C

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes