Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Friday, 2 October 2026

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

Sweden

What Janus-12 said

75%

Bosnia & Herzegovina or Sweden

70% success over 10 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A prediction at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Bosnia & Herzegovina or Sweden

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 02/10, 20:30.

Sealed on 02/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 1 day before kick-off

League B - Group D

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Sweden	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Poland	4	1	1	2	+3	4
4	Romania	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Bosnia & Herzegovina or Sweden75%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBosnia & Herzegovina 2nd, Sweden 1st (League B - Group D)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match61′ opening goal, Sweden (0-1)
During the match80′ equaliser, Bosnia & Herzegovina (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Bosnia & Herzegovina or Sweden” goes from 70% to 63.6% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,029 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Bosnia & Herzegovina on the left, Sweden on the right.

First half

VAR: Goal cancelled · Viktor Gyökeres18'
Substitution · Carl Starfelt ⇄ Eric Smith31'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Goal · Viktor Gyökeres (assist : Alexander Bernhardsson)61'
63'Substitution · Edin Džeko ⇄ Haris Tabaković
Substitution · Besfort Zeneli ⇄ Lucas Bergvall76'
Substitution · Alexander Bernhardsson ⇄ Williot Swedberg76'
76'Substitution · Ermedin Demirović ⇄ Jovo Lukić
76'Substitution · Ivan Bašić ⇄ Ermin Mahmić
80'Goal · Kerim Alajbegovic
87'Substitution · Nikola Katić ⇄ Zinedin Smajlovic
87'Substitution · Kerim Alajbegovic ⇄ Ivan Šunjić
Substitution · Sebastian Nanasi ⇄ Ken Sema90+5'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Bosnia & Herzegovina or Sweden75%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBosnia & Herzegovina 2nd, Sweden 1st (League B - Group D)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match61′ opening goal, Sweden (0-1)
During the match80′ equaliser, Bosnia & Herzegovina (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Bosnia & Herzegovina or Sweden” goes from 70% to 63.6% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,029 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League B - Group D

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes