Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Friday, 2 October 2026

Poland

6-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 5–0

Romania

What Janus-12 said

80%

Poland or draw

70% success over 10 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Poland or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 02/10, 20:30.

Sealed on 02/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 1 day before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

40% success over 10 matches in this league
57%✓

League B - Group D

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Sweden	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Poland	4	1	1	2	+3	4
4	Romania	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Poland or draw80%held
- Romania played 68 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 22nd minute.
- Poland took the lead in the 24th minute and never let it go.
Poland to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePoland 3rd, Romania 4th (League B - Group D)

During the match

During the match22′ sending-off, Romania (Radu Drăguşin)
During the match24′ opening goal, Poland (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ Poland go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match86′ last goal, Poland

What it changes

In this league, “Poland or draw” goes from 70% to 72.7% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,029 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Poland on the left, Romania on the right.

First half

Red card · Radu Drăguşin22'
24'Penalty goal · Robert Lewandowski
Substitution · Valentin Mihăilă ⇄ Andrei Coubiș27'
Yellow card · Virgil Ghiță35'
Yellow card · Tudor Băluță39'
42'Yellow card · Robert Lewandowski

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

47'Goal · Robert Lewandowski (assist : Nicola Zalewski)
49'Own goal · Virgil Ghiță
57'Yellow card · Karol Świderski
62'Goal · Piotr Zieliński
63'Substitution · Wiktor Nowak ⇄ Kacper Urbanski
63'Substitution · Matty Cash ⇄ Norbert Wojtuszek
66'Goal · Jan Bednarek (assist : Sebastian Szymański)
Substitution · Dennis Man ⇄ Bogdan Racovitan67'
Substitution · Nicușor Bancu ⇄ Andrei Borza67'
Substitution · Ianis Hagi ⇄ Marius Marin67'
71'Substitution · Piotr Zieliński ⇄ Bartosz Ślisz
71'Substitution · Sebastian Szymański ⇄ Marcel Regula
Yellow card · Andrei Borza73'
Substitution · Răzvan Marin ⇄ Catalin Cirjan78'
78'Substitution · Nicola Zalewski ⇄ Oskar Pietuszewski
86'Goal · Robert Lewandowski (assist : Oskar Pietuszewski)

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Poland or draw80%held
- Romania played 68 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 22nd minute.
- Poland took the lead in the 24th minute and never let it go.
Poland to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePoland 3rd, Romania 4th (League B - Group D)

During the match

During the match22′ sending-off, Romania (Radu Drăguşin)
During the match24′ opening goal, Poland (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ Poland go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match86′ last goal, Poland

What it changes

In this league, “Poland or draw” goes from 70% to 72.7% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,029 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League B - Group D

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes