Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Friday, 2 October 2026

Belgium

3–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–0

Türkiye

What Janus-12 said

80%

Belgium or draw

70% success over 10 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Belgium or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 02/10, 20:30.

Sealed on 02/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 1 day before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

40% success over 10 matches in this league
59%✓

League A - Group A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	France	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Italy	4	2	1	1	+3	7
3	Belgium	4	2	0	2	+1	6
4	Türkiye	4	0	0	4	-9	0

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Belgium or draw80%held
- Belgium took the lead in the 10th minute and never let it go.
- Belgium took control early: opening goal in the 10th minute.
Belgium to win59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBelgium 3rd, Türkiye 4th (League A - Group A)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Belgium (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match59′ Belgium go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match76′ last goal, Belgium

What it changes

In this league, “Belgium or draw” goes from 70% to 72.7% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,029 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Belgium on the left, Türkiye on the right.

First half

10'Goal · Kevin De Bruyne (assist : Dodi Lukebakio)
26'Yellow card · Dodi Lukebakio
30'Yellow card · Youri Tielemans
Substitution · Baris Alper Yilmaz ⇄ Yunus Akgün45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Abdulkerim Bardakçı56'
59'Goal · Kevin De Bruyne (assist : Youri Tielemans)
61'Substitution · Hans Vanaken ⇄ Romeo Lavia
61'Substitution · Dodi Lukebakio ⇄ Romelu Lukaku
Substitution · Oğuz Aydın ⇄ Ilhan Fakili66'
Substitution · Kerem Aktürkoğlu ⇄ Deniz Gül67'
Yellow card · Merih Demiral71'
Substitution · Bartuğ Elmaz ⇄ Salih Özcan73'
75'Substitution · Mika Godts ⇄ Leandro Trossard
76'Goal · Romelu Lukaku (assist : Charles De Ketelaere)
80'Yellow card · Kevin De Bruyne
82'Substitution · Charles De Ketelaere ⇄ Malick Fofana
82'Substitution · Kevin De Bruyne ⇄ Loïs Openda
Substitution · Ismail Yüksek ⇄ Demir Ege Tıknaz85'
Yellow card · Arda Güler90+2'
90+2'Yellow card · Nathan Ngoy

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Belgium or draw80%held
- Belgium took the lead in the 10th minute and never let it go.
- Belgium took control early: opening goal in the 10th minute.
Belgium to win59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBelgium 3rd, Türkiye 4th (League A - Group A)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Belgium (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match59′ Belgium go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match76′ last goal, Belgium

What it changes

In this league, “Belgium or draw” goes from 70% to 72.7% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,029 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League A - Group A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes