Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Thursday, 1 October 2026

Germany

2-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Serbia

What Janus-12 said

87%

Germany or draw

78% success over 6277 matches, all leagues

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Germany or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 01/10, 22:30.

Sealed on 01/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 35 minutes before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

51% success over 6282 matches, all leagues
67%✓

League A - Group B

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Netherlands	4	2	2	0	+2	8
2	Greece	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Germany	4	1	2	1	+1	5
4	Serbia	4	0	0	4	-5	0

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Germany or draw87%held
- Germany took the lead in the 39th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Germany against 1.
Germany to win67%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGermany 3rd, Serbia 4th (League A - Group B)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, Germany (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match61′ Germany go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Germany or draw” goes from 77.9% to 77.9% success rate, over 6278 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 783,978 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Germany on the left, Serbia on the right.

First half

39'Goal · Tom Bischof
45'Substitution · Serge Gnabry ⇄ Said El Mala

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

61'Goal · Florian Wirtz (assist : Maximilian Mittelstädt)
Substitution · Andrija Živković ⇄ Lazar Samardzic66'
Substitution · Strahinja Erakovic ⇄ Strahinja Pavlovic67'
Substitution · Stefan Džodić ⇄ Mihajlo Cvetkovic67'
Substitution · Dušan Tadić ⇄ Saša Lukić67'
Yellow card · Nemanja Gudelj73'
77'Substitution · Nick Woltemade ⇄ Jonathan Burkardt
77'Substitution · Derry Lionel Scherhant ⇄ Bambasé Conté
77'Substitution · Tom Bischof ⇄ Mika Baur
Yellow card · Nemanja Maksimović79'
Yellow card · Veljko Paunovic79'
88'Substitution · Aleksandar Pavlović ⇄ Vitaly Janelt
Substitution · Nemanja Maksimović ⇄ Vasilije Kostov88'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Germany or draw87%held
- Germany took the lead in the 39th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Germany against 1.
Germany to win67%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGermany 3rd, Serbia 4th (League A - Group B)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, Germany (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match61′ Germany go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Germany or draw” goes from 77.9% to 77.9% success rate, over 6278 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 783,978 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League A - Group B

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes