Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Kazakhstan) · Kazakhstan

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 15:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 15:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Kairat Almaty

1–4full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 0–2

FK Tobol Kostanay

What Janus-12 said

85%

Kairat Almaty or draw

87% success over 31 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 15 %

A prediction at 85 % fails 15 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Kairat Almaty or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
PMUC
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 20:02.

Sealed on 13/09, 15:00announced on 29/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 26 matches in this league
56%✓
68% success over 31 matches in this league
63%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	25	18	4	3	+30	58
2	Kairat Almaty	25	17	6	2	+32	57
3	FC Astana	24	13	6	5	+16	45
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	+6	45
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	+7	42
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	+2	38
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	26	10	4	12	-2	34
8	Zhenys	26	8	8	10	-6	32
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	-8	32
10	Kaspiy	26	8	5	13	-9	29
11	Irtysh	25	6	8	11	-8	26
12	Kyzyl-Zhar	26	6	7	13	-11	25
13	Kaisar	26	4	12	10	-11	24
14	Atyrau	24	4	11	9	-7	23
15	Altay	26	5	8	13	-13	23
16	Zhetysu	26	5	7	14	-18	22

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Kairat Almaty or draw85%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: FK Tobol Kostanay scored in the 81st minute.
- Kairat Almaty chased the score almost all match: FK Tobol Kostanay scored as early as the 18th minute.
Draw or FK Tobol Kostanay ahead at half-time56%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 18′ FK Tobol Kostanay, 40′ Kairat Almaty, 44′ FK Tobol Kostanay.
Kairat Almaty to win63%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKairat Almaty 2nd, FK Tobol Kostanay 7th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, FK Tobol Kostanay (0-1)
During the match40′ equaliser, Kairat Almaty (1-1)
During the match44′ FK Tobol Kostanay retake the lead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match63′ FK Tobol Kostanay go 2 goals up (1-3)
During the match81′ last goal, FK Tobol Kostanay

What it changes

In this league, “Kairat Almaty or draw” goes from 87.1% to 84.4% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Kairat Almaty on the left, FK Tobol Kostanay on the right.

First half

Penalty goal · U. Milovanovic18'
Yellow card · M. Myakish28'
34'Substitution · L. Kurgin ⇄ A. Tuyakbaev
40'Goal · M. Gual (assist : Edmilson)
Goal · U. Milovanovic (assist : V. Lisakovich)44'

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

46'Substitution · O. Baybek ⇄ Lucas Africo
58'Substitution · O. Jukkola ⇄ I. Bekbolat
Goal · V. Lisakovich (assist : A. Tagybergen)63'
64'Yellow card · M. Gual
Goal · L. Guerra81'
Substitution · A. Talal ⇄ D. Zhumat82'
83'Substitution · A. Martynovich ⇄ A. Shirobokov
84'Substitution · Edmilson ⇄ M. Birkurmanov
Substitution · N. Zhagorov ⇄ R. Senhadji90'

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Kairat Almaty or draw85%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: FK Tobol Kostanay scored in the 81st minute.
- Kairat Almaty chased the score almost all match: FK Tobol Kostanay scored as early as the 18th minute.
Draw or FK Tobol Kostanay ahead at half-time56%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 18′ FK Tobol Kostanay, 40′ Kairat Almaty, 44′ FK Tobol Kostanay.
Kairat Almaty to win63%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKairat Almaty 2nd, FK Tobol Kostanay 7th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, FK Tobol Kostanay (0-1)
During the match40′ equaliser, Kairat Almaty (1-1)
During the match44′ FK Tobol Kostanay retake the lead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match63′ FK Tobol Kostanay go 2 goals up (1-3)
During the match81′ last goal, FK Tobol Kostanay

What it changes

In this league, “Kairat Almaty or draw” goes from 87.1% to 84.4% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes