Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Kazakhstan) · Kazakhstan

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

FC Astana

4–0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 2–0

Yelimay Semey

What Janus-12 said

58%

Draw or Yelimay Semey ahead at half-time

88% success over 16 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 42 %

A prediction at 58 % fails 42 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Yelimay Semey ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 17:31.

Sealed on 06/09, 14:00announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 21 matches in this league
84%✓
67% success over 21 matches in this league
62%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	25	18	4	3	+30	58
2	Kairat Almaty	25	17	6	2	+32	57
3	FC Astana	24	13	6	5	+16	45
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	+6	45
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	+7	42
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	+2	38
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	26	10	4	12	-2	34
8	Zhenys	26	8	8	10	-6	32
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	-8	32
10	Kaspiy	26	8	5	13	-9	29
11	Irtysh	25	6	8	11	-8	26
12	Kyzyl-Zhar	26	6	7	13	-11	25
13	Kaisar	26	4	12	10	-11	24
14	Atyrau	24	4	11	9	-7	23
15	Altay	26	5	8	13	-13	23
16	Zhetysu	26	5	7	14	-18	22

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Yelimay Semey ahead at half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 40′ FC Astana, 45′ FC Astana.
FC Astana or draw84%held
- FC Astana took the lead in the 40th minute and never let it go.
FC Astana to win62%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Astana 3rd, Yelimay Semey 6th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match40′ opening goal, FC Astana (1-0)
During the match45′ FC Astana go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Yelimay Semey ahead at half-time” goes from 87.5% to 82.4% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FC Astana on the left, Yelimay Semey on the right.

First half

Yellow card · A. Tulubay29'
40'Goal · I. Basic (assist : B. Islamkhan)
Yellow card · A. Ashirbek42'
45'Goal · I. Basic (assist : M. Tomasov)

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · I. Sviridov ⇄ R. Murillo46'
46'Substitution · S. Basmanov ⇄ M. Abrayev
49'Goal · M. Tomasov (assist : R. Karimov)
Substitution · China ⇄ A. Zhaksylykov58'
Substitution · F. Placca ⇄ R. Murtazaev58'
Substitution · A. Bakhtiyarov ⇄ Z. Payruz61'
Yellow card · H. Ilic66'
67'Penalty goal · R. Karimov
67'Substitution · B. Islamkhan ⇄ A. Beysebekov
67'Substitution · R. Karimov ⇄ N. Buric
69'Substitution · K. Kazukolovas ⇄ A. Kasym
Yellow card · A. Zhumakhanov75'
Substitution · A. Zhumakhanov ⇄ A. Baygaliev80'
81'Substitution · D. Karaman ⇄ A. Merkel
90+2'Yellow card · M. Abrayev

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Yelimay Semey ahead at half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 40′ FC Astana, 45′ FC Astana.
FC Astana or draw84%held
- FC Astana took the lead in the 40th minute and never let it go.
FC Astana to win62%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Astana 3rd, Yelimay Semey 6th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match40′ opening goal, FC Astana (1-0)
During the match45′ FC Astana go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Yelimay Semey ahead at half-time” goes from 87.5% to 82.4% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes