Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Belarus) · Belarus

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 18 September at 17:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

ML Vitebsk

5–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 4–0

Arsenal

What Janus-12 said

54%

ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time

75% success over 4 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 46 %

A prediction at 54 % fails 46 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
PMUC
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:30.

Sealed on 18/09, 17:00announced on 04/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 39 matches in this league
90%✓
41% success over 39 matches in this league
72%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Isloch Minsk R.	22	13	6	3	+19	45
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	+25	44
3	Dinamo Minsk	21	13	4	4	+21	43
4	Dinamo Brest	23	12	4	7	+15	40
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	+15	39
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	+6	37
7	FC Vitebsk	23	10	6	7	+7	36
8	FC Minsk	23	10	4	9	+2	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	22	7	6	9	-1	27
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	-3	25
11	Baranovichi	23	6	7	10	-14	25
12	Arsenal	23	5	8	10	-17	23
13	Belshina	22	5	6	11	-14	21
14	Bate Borisov	22	3	9	10	-11	18
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	-16	16
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	-34	14

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time54%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 5′ Arsenal, 45′ ML Vitebsk.
ML Vitebsk or draw90%held
- Arsenal played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for ML Vitebsk against 1.
ML Vitebsk to win72%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableML Vitebsk 2nd, Arsenal 12th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Arsenal (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, ML Vitebsk (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match45′ sending-off, Arsenal (Dmitri Antilevski)
During the match63′ turnaround, ML Vitebsk go ahead (2-1)
During the match69′ turnaround, ML Vitebsk go ahead (3-1)
During the match76′ turnaround, ML Vitebsk go ahead (4-1)
During the match82′ turnaround, ML Vitebsk go ahead (5-1)

What it changes

In this league, “ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time” goes from 75% to 60% success rate, over 5 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

ML Vitebsk on the left, Arsenal on the right.

First half

Goal · Dmitri Antilevski (assist : Dzambolat·Tsallagov)5'
Red card · Dmitri Antilevski45'
45'Substitution · Bassekou Diabate ⇄ Artem Kontsevoy
45'Substitution · Sergei Balanovich ⇄ Yan Skibsky
45+5'Goal · Valeri Gromyko (assist : Denilho Cleonise)
Yellow card · Dmitri Antilevski45+5'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Substitution · Roman Ermolin ⇄ Daniel Volskiy56'
Substitution · nikolay sotnikov ⇄ Nikita Kaplenko56'
Yellow card · Khetag Badoev57'
63'Goal · Radivoj Bosić (assist : Ilya Moskalenchik)
Substitution · Valeri Gorbachik ⇄ Sergey Sazonchik66'
69'Goal · Aleksandar Mesarovic (assist : Denilho Cleonise)
76'Goal · Valeri Gromyko (assist : Denilho Cleonise)
77'Substitution · Ilya Moskalenchik ⇄ Milad Mohammadi
Substitution · Khetag Badoev ⇄ Ilya Vasin78'
82'Goal · Radivoj Bosić (assist : Yan Skibsky)
83'Substitution · Radivoj Bosić ⇄ Timur Ivanov
83'Substitution · Silas Gnaka ⇄ Ode abdullahi

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time54%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 5′ Arsenal, 45′ ML Vitebsk.
ML Vitebsk or draw90%held
- Arsenal played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for ML Vitebsk against 1.
ML Vitebsk to win72%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableML Vitebsk 2nd, Arsenal 12th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Arsenal (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, ML Vitebsk (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match45′ sending-off, Arsenal (Dmitri Antilevski)
During the match63′ turnaround, ML Vitebsk go ahead (2-1)
During the match69′ turnaround, ML Vitebsk go ahead (3-1)
During the match76′ turnaround, ML Vitebsk go ahead (4-1)
During the match82′ turnaround, ML Vitebsk go ahead (5-1)

What it changes

In this league, “ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time” goes from 75% to 60% success rate, over 5 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes