Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Belarus) · Belarus

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 18 September at 14:30. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Belshina

2–0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–0

FC Minsk

What Janus-12 said

78%

Draw or FC Minsk

76% success over 38 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 22 %

A prediction at 78 % fails 22 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or FC Minsk

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:30.

Sealed on 18/09, 14:30announced on 04/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 31 matches in this league
81%✗
42% success over 38 matches in this league
53%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Isloch Minsk R.	22	13	6	3	+19	45
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	+25	44
3	Dinamo Minsk	21	13	4	4	+21	43
4	Dinamo Brest	23	12	4	7	+15	40
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	+15	39
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	+6	37
7	FC Vitebsk	23	10	6	7	+7	36
8	FC Minsk	23	10	4	9	+2	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	22	7	6	9	-1	27
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	-3	25
11	Baranovichi	23	6	7	10	-14	25
12	Arsenal	23	5	8	10	-17	23
13	Belshina	22	5	6	11	-14	21
14	Bate Borisov	22	3	9	10	-11	18
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	-16	16
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	-34	14

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or FC Minsk78%lost
- FC Minsk chased the score almost all match: Belshina scored as early as the 4th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: FC Minsk had 11 shots against 4, for 0 goal against 2.
Draw or FC Minsk ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 4′ Belshina, 45′ Belshina.
FC Minsk to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBelshina 13th, FC Minsk 8th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Belshina (1-0)
During the match45′ Belshina go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or FC Minsk” goes from 76.3% to 74.4% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Belshina on the left, FC Minsk on the right.

First half

4'Goal · vladislav rusenchik (assist : luka zgurskiy)
19'Substitution · Shorla Mathurin Aboghe ⇄ Pavel Seleznev
35'Yellow card · luka zgurskiy
45'Goal · Arseni Achapovskiy (assist : Pavel Seleznev)
Substitution · Francisco Campos ⇄ Vladislav Yatskevich45'
Substitution · Konstantin Malitskiy ⇄ Konstantin Kuchinskiy45'

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · artem turich ⇄ Felix Christanval Abena46'
Substitution · Matar Dieye ⇄ Egor Zubovich52'
54'Substitution · vladislav davydov ⇄ Nikita Sokolovskiy
Substitution · Arseni Migdalenok ⇄ Vladislav Malyutin66'
Yellow card · Felix Christanval Abena68'
75'Yellow card · Arseni Achapovskiy
Yellow card · Gregoy Abdul79'
Yellow card · Vladislav Yatskevich85'
85'Substitution · Arseni Achapovskiy ⇄ Nikita Nekrasov
85'Substitution · alexander shvedchikov ⇄ Kirill Bolotnikov

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or FC Minsk78%lost
- FC Minsk chased the score almost all match: Belshina scored as early as the 4th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: FC Minsk had 11 shots against 4, for 0 goal against 2.
Draw or FC Minsk ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 4′ Belshina, 45′ Belshina.
FC Minsk to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBelshina 13th, FC Minsk 8th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Belshina (1-0)
During the match45′ Belshina go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or FC Minsk” goes from 76.3% to 74.4% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes