Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Belarus) · Belarus

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Arsenal

2–4full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–4

Torpedo Zhodino

What Janus-12 said

81%

Draw or Torpedo Zhodino ahead at half-time

82% success over 11 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 19 %

A prediction at 81 % fails 19 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Torpedo Zhodino ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 09:46.

Sealed on 29/08, 16:00announced on 15/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 16 matches in this league
75%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Isloch Minsk R.	22	13	6	3	+19	45
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	+25	44
3	Dinamo Minsk	21	13	4	4	+21	43
4	Dinamo Brest	23	12	4	7	+15	40
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	+15	39
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	+6	37
7	FC Vitebsk	23	10	6	7	+7	36
8	FC Minsk	23	10	4	9	+2	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	22	7	6	9	-1	27
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	-3	25
11	Baranovichi	23	6	7	10	-14	25
12	Arsenal	23	5	8	10	-17	23
13	Belshina	22	5	6	11	-14	21
14	Bate Borisov	22	3	9	10	-11	18
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	-16	16
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	-34	14

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Torpedo Zhodino ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 23′ Arsenal.
Draw or Torpedo Zhodino75%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for Torpedo Zhodino against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableArsenal 12th, Torpedo Zhodino 9th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Arsenal (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match52′ Arsenal go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match72′ Torpedo Zhodino come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match79′ turnaround, Torpedo Zhodino go ahead (2-3)
During the match90′ turnaround, Torpedo Zhodino go ahead (2-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Torpedo Zhodino ahead at half-time” goes from 81.8% to 75% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Arsenal on the left, Torpedo Zhodino on the right.

First half

8'Substitution · D. Volskiy ⇄ N. Sotnikov
15'Yellow card · S. Sazonchik
Yellow card · A. Lomovitskiy15'
23'Goal · M. Matveev (assist : V. Gorbachik)
29'Yellow card · D. Lutik
35'Substitution · D. Lutik ⇄ E. Akunets

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · V. Pobudey ⇄ M. Gaevoy46'
52'Goal · D. Antilevskiy
Goal · A. Bykov (assist : A. Lomovitskiy)56'
Substitution · A. Frantsuzov ⇄ S. Alfred60'
Substitution · T. Sharkovskiy ⇄ D. Zhulpa68'
Goal · D. Zhulpa (assist : S. Alfred)72'
Goal · A. Lomovitskiy (assist : A. Ageev)79'
86'Yellow card · D. Antilevskiy
Substitution · A. Lomovitskiy ⇄ Pedro Acacio88'
Substitution · A. Bykov ⇄ G. Petrosyan88'
Goal · D. Zhulpa90+3'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Torpedo Zhodino ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 23′ Arsenal.
Draw or Torpedo Zhodino75%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for Torpedo Zhodino against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableArsenal 12th, Torpedo Zhodino 9th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Arsenal (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match52′ Arsenal go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match72′ Torpedo Zhodino come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match79′ turnaround, Torpedo Zhodino go ahead (2-3)
During the match90′ turnaround, Torpedo Zhodino go ahead (2-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Torpedo Zhodino ahead at half-time” goes from 81.8% to 75% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes