Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super League (China) · China

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Shandong Luneng

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

What Janus-12 said

88%

Shandong Luneng or draw

79% success over 28 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Shandong Luneng or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 04:52.

Sealed on 05/09, 13:01announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

69% success over 13 matches in this league
51%✗
63% success over 19 matches in this league
58%✓
53% success over 19 matches in this league
65%✗
50% success over 28 matches in this league
70%✗

Super League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	+21	52
2	Dalian Yingbo	26	12	4	10	-4	40
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	+16	38
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	+3	38
5	Qingdao West Coast	26	8	14	4	-1	38
6	Shandong Luneng	26	13	4	9	+3	37
7	SHANGHAI SIPG	26	10	8	8	+7	33
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	12	5	9	+6	31
9	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	-5	31
10	Hangzhou Greentown	26	10	6	10	+2	31
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	8	4	14	-11	28
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	9	9	-2	27
13	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	-13	25
14	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	+4	25
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	-7	21
16	Qingdao Hainiu	26	6	3	17	-19	14

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Shandong Luneng or draw88%held
- Shandong Luneng held on with ten men for 61 minutes (sent off in the 29th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Shandong Luneng took control early: opening goal in the 1st minute.
Draw or Shenzhen Xinpengcheng ahead at half-time51%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 1′ Shandong Luneng.
Under 3.5 goals58%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 29th minute, on the Shandong Luneng side.
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Over 2.5 goals65%lost
Shandong Luneng to win70%lost
- Shandong Luneng finished with ten men: sent off in the 29th minute, 61 minutes a man down.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableShandong Luneng 6th, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 11th (Super League)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Shandong Luneng (1-0)
During the match29′ sending-off, Shandong Luneng (Cryzan da Cruz Queiroz Barcelos)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match68′ equaliser, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Shandong Luneng or draw” goes from 78.6% to 79.3% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Shandong Luneng on the left, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng on the right.

First half

1'Goal · Cryzan da Cruz Queiroz Barcelos (assist : Valeri Qazaishvili)
27'VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · Cryzan da Cruz Queiroz Barcelos
29'Red card · Cryzan da Cruz Queiroz Barcelos
Substitution · Yu Rui ⇄ Yu Menghui45'
45'Substitution · Li Yuanyi ⇄ Huang Zhengyu
45'Substitution · Mewlan Mijit ⇄ Shi Songchen
Yellow card · Yang Yiming45+7'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Yang Yiming ⇄ Li Ning54'
Yellow card · Tang Miao59'
61'Substitution · Valeri Qazaishvili ⇄ Raphaël Merkies
Goal · Dai Wai-Tsun68'
69'Substitution · Chen Pu ⇄ Chen Zeshi
Yellow card · Eden Karzev72'
79'Substitution · Xie Wenneng ⇄ Peng Xiao
Substitution · Dai Wai-Tsun ⇄ Li Long88'
Substitution · Yao Junsheng ⇄ Zhang Yufeng88'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Shandong Luneng or draw88%held
- Shandong Luneng held on with ten men for 61 minutes (sent off in the 29th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Shandong Luneng took control early: opening goal in the 1st minute.
Draw or Shenzhen Xinpengcheng ahead at half-time51%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 1′ Shandong Luneng.
Under 3.5 goals58%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 29th minute, on the Shandong Luneng side.
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Over 2.5 goals65%lost
Shandong Luneng to win70%lost
- Shandong Luneng finished with ten men: sent off in the 29th minute, 61 minutes a man down.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableShandong Luneng 6th, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 11th (Super League)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Shandong Luneng (1-0)
During the match29′ sending-off, Shandong Luneng (Cryzan da Cruz Queiroz Barcelos)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match68′ equaliser, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Shandong Luneng or draw” goes from 78.6% to 79.3% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes