Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super League (China) · China

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Hangzhou Greentown

6–0full timeHT 5–0 · 2H 1–0

Yunnan Yukun

What Janus-12 said

64%

Draw or Yunnan Yukun ahead at half-time

78% success over 9 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 36 %

A prediction at 64 % fails 36 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Yunnan Yukun ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 06:01.

Sealed on 29/08, 12:00announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 22 matches in this league
77%✓
69% success over 13 matches in this league
69%✗
46% success over 13 matches in this league
58%✓
45% success over 22 matches in this league
51%✓

Super League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	+21	52
2	Dalian Yingbo	26	12	4	10	-4	40
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	+16	38
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	+3	38
5	Qingdao West Coast	26	8	14	4	-1	38
6	Shandong Luneng	26	13	4	9	+3	37
7	SHANGHAI SIPG	26	10	8	8	+7	33
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	12	5	9	+6	31
9	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	-5	31
10	Hangzhou Greentown	26	10	6	10	+2	31
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	8	4	14	-11	28
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	9	9	-2	27
13	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	-13	25
14	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	+4	25
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	-7	21
16	Qingdao Hainiu	26	6	3	17	-19	14

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Yunnan Yukun ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 5-0 at half-time, 2′ Hangzhou Greentown, 4′ Hangzhou Greentown, 29′ Hangzhou Greentown, 39′ Hangzhou Greentown, 45′ Hangzhou Greentown.
Hangzhou Greentown or draw77%held
- Yunnan Yukun played 40 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 50th minute.
- Hangzhou Greentown took the lead in the 2nd minute and never let it go.
Under 3.5 goals69%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 2nd minute, 6 in total.
- The two teams had 15 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Over 2.5 goals58%held
Hangzhou Greentown to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHangzhou Greentown 10th, Yunnan Yukun 4th (Super League)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Hangzhou Greentown (1-0)
During the match4′ Hangzhou Greentown go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 5-0
During the match50′ sending-off, Yunnan Yukun (Yi Teng)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Yunnan Yukun ahead at half-time” goes from 77.8% to 70% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Hangzhou Greentown on the left, Yunnan Yukun on the right.

First half

2'Goal · Marko Tolić (assist : Alexandru Mitriță)
4'Goal · Alexandru Mitriță (assist : Marko Tolić)
9'Yellow card · Park Jin-seob
29'Goal · Alexandru Mitriță (assist : Marko Tolić)
39'Penalty goal · Alexandru Mitriță
Substitution · Ye Chugui ⇄ Cléber Bomfim de Jesus45'
Substitution · Zhang Chenliang ⇄ Huang Zichang45'
45+2'Goal · Park Jin-seob (assist : Marko Tolić)

Half-time5 – 0

Second half

46'Goal · Tao Qianglong (assist : Marko Tolić)
VAR: Red card cancelled · Yi Teng50'
51'VAR: Penalty cancelled · Marko Tolić
Substitution · Oscar Maritu ⇄ Zhao Yuhao57'
Substitution · Alexandru Ionita ⇄ Hu Ruibao57'
Yellow card · Cléber Bomfim de Jesus59'
68'Substitution · Tao Qianglong ⇄ Gao Di
68'Substitution · Wang Yudong ⇄ Fang Hao
Substitution · Xu Xin ⇄ Duan Liuyu70'
77'Substitution · Alexandru Mitriță ⇄ Ning Fangze
77'Substitution · Park Jin-seob ⇄ Alexander N'Doumbou
77'Substitution · Liu Haofan ⇄ Zhang Aihui
Yellow card · Duan Liuyu84'

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Yunnan Yukun ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 5-0 at half-time, 2′ Hangzhou Greentown, 4′ Hangzhou Greentown, 29′ Hangzhou Greentown, 39′ Hangzhou Greentown, 45′ Hangzhou Greentown.
Hangzhou Greentown or draw77%held
- Yunnan Yukun played 40 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 50th minute.
- Hangzhou Greentown took the lead in the 2nd minute and never let it go.
Under 3.5 goals69%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 2nd minute, 6 in total.
- The two teams had 15 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Over 2.5 goals58%held
Hangzhou Greentown to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHangzhou Greentown 10th, Yunnan Yukun 4th (Super League)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Hangzhou Greentown (1-0)
During the match4′ Hangzhou Greentown go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 5-0
During the match50′ sending-off, Yunnan Yukun (Yi Teng)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Yunnan Yukun ahead at half-time” goes from 77.8% to 70% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes