Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Pro · Ecuador

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 14 September at 00:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 10/09.

Libertad

2–3full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 1–1

Independiente del Valle

What Janus-12 said

70%

Draw or Independiente del Valle

82% success over 44 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Independiente del Valle

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 14/09, 00:00announced on 31/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Liga Pro: Regular season

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	39
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Independiente del Valle70%held
- Independiente del Valle took the lead in the 72nd minute and never let it go.
- Independiente del Valle took control early: opening goal in the 19th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLibertad 7th, Independiente del Valle 1st (Liga Pro: Regular season)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Independiente del Valle (0-1)
During the match34′ Independiente del Valle go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match56′ Libertad come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match72′ Independiente del Valle retake the lead (2-3)
Line-up72′ the goal came off the bench: Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios (Independiente del Valle)
During the match90′ sending-off, Independiente del Valle (Jhon Espinoza)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Independiente del Valle” goes from 81.8% to 82.2% success rate, over 45 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,367 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Libertad on the left, Independiente del Valle on the right.

First half

Goal · Matias Mijail Perello (assist : Yandri Vásquez)19'
29'Substitution · Edu Pineda ⇄ Johan Estacio
29'Substitution · D. Coronel ⇄ Gabriel Cortez
Goal · Yandri Vásquez (assist : Ronald Briones)34'
45'Goal · Gabriel Cortez

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

56'Goal · Vilinton German Branda Merlin (assist : Antony Chere)
Substitution · Hólger Jamil Quintero Preciado ⇄ Junior Sornoza60'
Substitution · Edwin Quintero ⇄ Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez60'
62'Yellow card · Johan Estacio
Yellow card · Jhon Espinoza65'
68'Yellow card · Orlin Quinonez
Substitution · Ronald Briones ⇄ Hugo Quintana69'
Substitution · Matias Mijail Perello ⇄ Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios69'
Goal · Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios (assist : Hugo Quintana)72'
76'Substitution · Orlin Quinonez ⇄ Enrique Rafael Caicedo Borja
Substitution · Youri Ochoa ⇄ Mateo Carabajal82'
84'Substitution · Vilinton German Branda Merlin ⇄ Carlos Orejuela
84'Substitution · cristhian valencia ⇄ Jostin Bravo
Red card · Jhon Espinoza90'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Independiente del Valle70%held
- Independiente del Valle took the lead in the 72nd minute and never let it go.
- Independiente del Valle took control early: opening goal in the 19th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLibertad 7th, Independiente del Valle 1st (Liga Pro: Regular season)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Independiente del Valle (0-1)
During the match34′ Independiente del Valle go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match56′ Libertad come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match72′ Independiente del Valle retake the lead (2-3)
Line-up72′ the goal came off the bench: Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios (Independiente del Valle)
During the match90′ sending-off, Independiente del Valle (Jhon Espinoza)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Independiente del Valle” goes from 81.8% to 82.2% success rate, over 45 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,367 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga Pro: Regular season

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes