Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Pro · Ecuador

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Sunday 13 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 10/09.

Leones del Norte

0–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–0

Tecnico Universitario

What Janus-12 said

86%

Leones del Norte or draw

83% success over 42 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 14 %

A prediction at 86 % fails 14 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Leones del Norte or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 13/09, 19:00announced on 31/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

52% success over 42 matches in this league
63%✗

Liga Pro

as of 21/09, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
11	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Leones del Norte or draw86%lost
- Leones del Norte finished with ten men: sent off in the 57th minute, 33 minutes a man down.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Leones del Norte had 18 shots against 9, for 0 goal against 1.
Leones del Norte to win63%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeones del Norte 8th, Tecnico Universitario 14th (Liga Pro)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Tecnico Universitario (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match57′ sending-off, Leones del Norte (Segundo Portocarrero)

What it changes

In this league, “Leones del Norte or draw” goes from 83.3% to 81.4% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Leones del Norte on the left, Tecnico Universitario on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Yorlin Edwin Arce Mina28'
Goal · Bagner Delgado (assist : Luis Estupiñan)36'
45'Substitution · Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio ⇄ Segundo Portocarrero
45'Substitution · Jordan Eduardo Morán Cortez ⇄ Brian Gastón Kreiman

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

53'Yellow card · Elian Pepinos
57'Red card · Segundo Portocarrero
60'Substitution · Elian Pepinos ⇄ Thomas Amilivia
Substitution · Yorlin Edwin Arce Mina ⇄ Carlos Cuero67'
Substitution · Johan Bocanegra ⇄ Heuyín Anel Guardia González67'
Substitution · E. Mesa ⇄ Marco Alexander Carrasco Bonilla69'
Substitution · Diego Armas ⇄ Kener Arce69'
74'Substitution · Alexis Nicolás Monserrat ⇄ Dario Pazmino
Yellow card · Diego Armas77'
77'Yellow card · M. Córdoba
Yellow card · Adrian Cela78'
Substitution · Luis Estupiñan ⇄ Cesar Castano79'
85'Substitution · Patricio Madero ⇄ Maiky de la Cruz
87'Yellow card · Emiliano Griffa
Yellow card · A. Morales90+5'

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Leones del Norte or draw86%lost
- Leones del Norte finished with ten men: sent off in the 57th minute, 33 minutes a man down.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Leones del Norte had 18 shots against 9, for 0 goal against 1.
Leones del Norte to win63%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeones del Norte 8th, Tecnico Universitario 14th (Liga Pro)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Tecnico Universitario (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match57′ sending-off, Leones del Norte (Segundo Portocarrero)

What it changes

In this league, “Leones del Norte or draw” goes from 83.3% to 81.4% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga Pro

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes