Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Pro · Ecuador

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 22:30. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 10/09.

Guayaquil City FC

3–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–1

Mushuc Runa SC

What Janus-12 said

68%

Guayaquil City FC or draw

83% success over 40 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Guayaquil City FC or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 12/09, 22:30announced on 31/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Liga Pro

as of 21/09, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
11	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Guayaquil City FC or draw68%held
- Mushuc Runa SC played 22 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 68th minute.
- Guayaquil City FC took the lead in the 23rd minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGuayaquil City FC 9th, Mushuc Runa SC 10th (Liga Pro)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Guayaquil City FC (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match51′ Guayaquil City FC go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match68′ sending-off, Mushuc Runa SC (Nazareno Bazán)
During the match84′ last goal, Guayaquil City FC

What it changes

In this league, “Guayaquil City FC or draw” goes from 82.5% to 82.9% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Guayaquil City FC on the left, Mushuc Runa SC on the right.

First half

23'Goal · Edinson Mero (assist : R. Arias)
Yellow card · Ronny Biojó34'
Yellow card · Jeremy Cusme36'
Yellow card · Alex Ibarra38'
Substitution · Freddy Mina ⇄ Elian Caicedo45'
Substitution · Alex Ibarra ⇄ Nazareno Bazán45+6'
45+11'Yellow card · R. Arias

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

51'Goal · Edinson Mero (assist : Junior Ayovi)
Goal · Miguel Perea (assist : Arnaldo Zambrano)55'
57'Substitution · P. González ⇄ Pablo Mancilla
57'Substitution · R. Arias ⇄ Erick Patricio Ladines Calvache
57'Substitution · Edinson Mero ⇄ Miller Bolaños
Substitution · Arnaldo Zambrano ⇄ Bryan Corozo65'
65'Substitution · Joshue·Quinonez ⇄ Esnaider Cabezas
Red card · Nazareno Bazán68'
70'Yellow card · Diego Dorregaray
73'Yellow card · Pablo Mancilla
76'Substitution · S Laurino ⇄ Kevin Sambonino
Substitution · Cristopher Angulo ⇄ Kevin Peralta83'
Substitution · José Hernández ⇄ Jefferson Caicedo83'
84'Goal · Diego Dorregaray (assist : Dixon Arroyo)

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Guayaquil City FC or draw68%held
- Mushuc Runa SC played 22 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 68th minute.
- Guayaquil City FC took the lead in the 23rd minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGuayaquil City FC 9th, Mushuc Runa SC 10th (Liga Pro)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Guayaquil City FC (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match51′ Guayaquil City FC go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match68′ sending-off, Mushuc Runa SC (Nazareno Bazán)
During the match84′ last goal, Guayaquil City FC

What it changes

In this league, “Guayaquil City FC or draw” goes from 82.5% to 82.9% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga Pro

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes