Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Pro · Ecuador

full time

Tuesday, 8 September 2026

Emelec

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Manta FC

What Janus-12 said

84%

Emelec or draw

79% success over 33 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Emelec or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 07/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 06/09, 21:00announced on 24/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

55% success over 33 matches in this league
60%✓

Liga Pro: Regular season

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	39
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Emelec or draw84%held
- Manta FC played 27 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 63rd minute.
- Emelec took the lead in the 75th minute and never let it go.
Emelec to win60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEmelec 10th, Manta FC 16th (Liga Pro: Regular season)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match63′ sending-off, Manta FC (Juan Nazareno)
During the match75′ opening goal, Emelec (1-0)
During the match90′ sending-off, Emelec (Luca Klimowicz)

What it changes

In this league, “Emelec or draw” goes from 78.8% to 79.4% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,746 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Emelec on the left, Manta FC on the right.

First half

17'VAR: Penalty cancelled · Gonzalo Nápoli
17'Yellow card · Gonzalo Nápoli
25'Yellow card · Aníbal Leguizamón
Yellow card · Ángel Ledesma34'
Yellow card · Juan Nazareno42'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Mateo Ortiz53'
55'Substitution · Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez ⇄ Luca Klimowicz
56'Substitution · Gonzalo Nápoli ⇄ luis Fragozo
Red card · Juan Nazareno63'
Substitution · Robert Burbano ⇄ Juan Jimenez65'
Substitution · Ángel Ledesma ⇄ Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo65'
69'Substitution · Reixon David Saya Paredes ⇄ Jaime Ayoví
Substitution · Felix Alejandro Zambrano Santizaba ⇄ Walter Chavez74'
Substitution · Jefferson Troya ⇄ Josué Martin Chala Alomia74'
75'Goal · Aníbal Leguizamón (assist : Jose Francisco Cevallos)
Yellow card · Alexander Medina79'
Substitution · José Monaga ⇄ Walter Chalá81'
83'Substitution · Jose Francisco Cevallos ⇄ Angelo Mina
83'Substitution · Luis Gómez ⇄ Orlando Herrera
86'Yellow card · Estalin Segura
90+2'VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · Luca Klimowicz
90+3'Red card · Luca Klimowicz

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Emelec or draw84%held
- Manta FC played 27 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 63rd minute.
- Emelec took the lead in the 75th minute and never let it go.
Emelec to win60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEmelec 10th, Manta FC 16th (Liga Pro: Regular season)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match63′ sending-off, Manta FC (Juan Nazareno)
During the match75′ opening goal, Emelec (1-0)
During the match90′ sending-off, Emelec (Luca Klimowicz)

What it changes

In this league, “Emelec or draw” goes from 78.8% to 79.4% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,746 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga Pro: Regular season

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes