Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Pro · Ecuador

full time

Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Macara

4–3full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 3–2

Manta FC

What Janus-12 said

90%

Macara or draw

76% success over 25 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Macara or draw

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 01/09, 11:30.

Sealed on 02/09, 21:00announced on 20/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

52% success over 25 matches in this league
69%✓

Liga Pro: Championship Group

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	+9	54
3	Universidad Catolica	31	14	9	8	+23	51
4	Aucas	31	14	8	9	+4	50
5	LDU de Quito	31	14	7	10	+8	49
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Macara or draw90%held
- Macara took control early: opening goal in the 20th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Macara against 5.
Macara to win69%held

What happened

During the match

During the match20′ opening goal, Macara (1-0)
During the match43′ equaliser, Manta FC (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match55′ turnaround, Manta FC go ahead (1-2)
During the match61′ equaliser, Macara (2-2)
During the match80′ turnaround, Macara go ahead (3-2)
During the match85′ equaliser, Manta FC (3-3)
During the match89′ turnaround, Macara go ahead (4-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Macara or draw” goes from 76% to 76.9% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,459 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Macara on the left, Manta FC on the right.

First half

20'Goal · augustin campana (assist : Jean Estacio)
27'Substitution · Jean Estacio ⇄ Carlos Caicedo
Goal · Jostin Alman (assist : Robert Burbano)43'
45'Substitution · T. Chamba ⇄ Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
Substitution · Jefferson Nazareno ⇄ Josué Martin Chala Alomia45'
Yellow card · Jeremy Mina45+5'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

48'Yellow card · Carlos Caicedo
VAR: Penalty confirmed · Jostin Alman53'
Penalty goal · Jean Carlos Blanco Becerra55'
61'Missed penalty · Franco Posse
61'Goal · Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
Substitution · Jeremy Mina ⇄ Jefferson Troya64'
Substitution · Jean Carlos Blanco Becerra ⇄ Ángel Ledesma64'
67'Substitution · M. Viera ⇄ J. Klinger
Substitution · Robert Burbano ⇄ M. Valencia72'
Substitution · Jostin Alman ⇄ Walter Chalá73'
80'Goal · S. Etchebarne (assist : Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar)
83'Yellow card · S. Etchebarne
Penalty goal · Ángel Ledesma85'
86'Substitution · Marlon Medranda ⇄ Jose Marrufo
86'Substitution · Franco Posse ⇄ Nestor David Caicedo Mina
89'Goal · S. Etchebarne (assist : Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar)

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Macara or draw90%held
- Macara took control early: opening goal in the 20th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Macara against 5.
Macara to win69%held

What happened

During the match

During the match20′ opening goal, Macara (1-0)
During the match43′ equaliser, Manta FC (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match55′ turnaround, Manta FC go ahead (1-2)
During the match61′ equaliser, Macara (2-2)
During the match80′ turnaround, Macara go ahead (3-2)
During the match85′ equaliser, Manta FC (3-3)
During the match89′ turnaround, Macara go ahead (4-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Macara or draw” goes from 76% to 76.9% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,459 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga Pro: Championship Group

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes