Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Pro · Ecuador

full time

Friday, 4 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Friday 4 September at 01:00. Originally planned for Wednesday 2 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Libertad

1-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Emelec

What Janus-12 said

81%

Libertad or draw

76% success over 25 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Libertad or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 02/09, 21:00announced on 20/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

52% success over 25 matches in this league
50%✗

Liga Pro: Regular season

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	39
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Libertad or draw81%held
- Libertad were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Libertad against 4.
Libertad to win50%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Libertad had 16 shots against 12, for 1 goal against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLibertad 7th, Emelec 10th (Liga Pro: Regular season)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Libertad (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match61′ equaliser, Emelec (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Libertad or draw” goes from 76% to 76.9% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,459 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Libertad on the left, Emelec on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Jefferson Valverde16'
45+1'Goal · cristhian valencia

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

51'Yellow card · Rodrigo Morinigo
Substitution · Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez ⇄ Gonzalo Nápoli56'
Substitution · Francisco Pizzini ⇄ Reixon David Saya Paredes56'
Substitution · Angelo Mina ⇄ Jose Francisco Cevallos56'
Goal · Jose Francisco Cevallos (assist : Ronie Carrillo)61'
63'Substitution · Edu Pineda ⇄ Jostin Bravo
63'Yellow card · Bryan Caicedo
70'Substitution · Antony Chere ⇄ Enrique Rafael Caicedo Borja
70'Substitution · D. Coronel ⇄ Gabriel Cortez
Substitution · luis Fragozo ⇄ Víctor Griffith76'
83'Substitution · Vilinton German Branda Merlin ⇄ Carlos Orejuela
Substitution · Ronie Carrillo ⇄ Luca Klimowicz85'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Libertad or draw81%held
- Libertad were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Libertad against 4.
Libertad to win50%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Libertad had 16 shots against 12, for 1 goal against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLibertad 7th, Emelec 10th (Liga Pro: Regular season)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Libertad (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match61′ equaliser, Emelec (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Libertad or draw” goes from 76% to 76.9% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,459 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga Pro: Regular season

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes