Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Pro · Ecuador

full time

Thursday, 3 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Thursday 3 September at 22:30. Originally planned for Wednesday 2 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Leones del Norte

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Orense SC

What Janus-12 said

81%

Leones del Norte or draw

76% success over 25 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Leones del Norte or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/09, 23:30.

Sealed on 02/09, 21:00announced on 20/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

52% success over 25 matches in this league
54%✓

Liga Pro

as of 21/09, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
11	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Leones del Norte or draw81%held
- Leones del Norte took the lead in the 61st minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Leones del Norte against 1.
Leones del Norte to win54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeones del Norte 8th, Orense SC 13th (Liga Pro)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match61′ opening goal, Leones del Norte (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Leones del Norte or draw” goes from 76% to 76.9% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,459 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Leones del Norte on the left, Orense SC on the right.

First half

VAR: Penalty cancelled · Oscar Quiñonez12'
38'Yellow card · Alexis Nicolás Monserrat
41'Yellow card · Emiliano Griffa
45'Substitution · Dario Pazmino ⇄ Thomas Amilivia

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Renny Jaramillo ⇄ Gonzalo Rostagno59'
Substitution · Erick Pluas ⇄ Christian Alejandro Ortíz Calle59'
61'Goal · Cristhian Solano (assist : Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio)
69'Substitution · Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio ⇄ Brian Gastón Kreiman
Substitution · Pedro Velasco ⇄ J. Valencia78'
Yellow card · Beder Caicedo78'
79'Substitution · Emiliano Griffa ⇄ Elian Pepinos
79'Substitution · Cristhian Solano ⇄ Jonathan Ronaldo Arroyo
Substitution · Valentín Burgoa ⇄ Luis Miguel Garcés Carrion83'
Substitution · Andrés Parrales ⇄ Wilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga83'
90+1'Substitution · Patricio Madero ⇄ O. Cabeza

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Leones del Norte or draw81%held
- Leones del Norte took the lead in the 61st minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Leones del Norte against 1.
Leones del Norte to win54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeones del Norte 8th, Orense SC 13th (Liga Pro)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match61′ opening goal, Leones del Norte (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Leones del Norte or draw” goes from 76% to 76.9% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,459 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga Pro

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes