Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Pro · Ecuador

full time

Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Barcelona SC

2-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–0

Independiente del Valle

What Janus-12 said

77%

Draw or Independiente del Valle

76% success over 25 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 23 %

A prediction at 77 % fails 23 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Draw or Independiente del Valle

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/09, 01:30.

Sealed on 02/09, 21:00announced on 20/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Liga Pro

as of 21/09, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
11	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Independiente del Valle77%lost
- Independiente del Valle finished with ten men: sent off in the 70th minute, 20 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Barcelona SC scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBarcelona SC 6th, Independiente del Valle 1st (Liga Pro)

During the match

During the match40′ opening goal, Independiente del Valle (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match46′ equaliser, Barcelona SC (1-1)
During the match50′ sending-off, Barcelona SC (Pablo Marcelo Trobbiani)
During the match70′ sending-off, Independiente del Valle (Joaquín Papa Monestier)
During the match90′ turnaround, Barcelona SC go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Independiente del Valle” goes from 76% to 73.1% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,459 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Barcelona SC on the left, Independiente del Valle on the right.

First half

27'Yellow card · Damián Díaz
Yellow card · Mateo Carabajal27'
VAR: Penalty confirmed · Aron Rodríguez37'
Penalty goal · Carlos González40'
44'Yellow card · Jefferson Intriago
Substitution · Carlos González ⇄ Djorkaeff Reascos45'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

46'Goal · Jefferson Wila (assist : Tomás Rodríguez)
50'Red card · Pablo Marcelo Trobbiani
60'Yellow card · José Contreras
Substitution · Hugo Quintana ⇄ Juan Viacava63'
Red card · Joaquín Papa Monestier70'
73'Substitution · William·Vargas ⇄ Byron Castillo
Substitution · Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez ⇄ Matias Mijail Perello75'
Substitution · Junior Sornoza ⇄ Ronald Briones75'
79'Substitution · Luis Cano ⇄ Erick Mendoza
79'Substitution · Jefferson Intriago ⇄ Jhonny Quinonez
88'Substitution · Damián Díaz ⇄ Darío Benedetto
89'Substitution · Jefferson Wila ⇄ Yaxi Johan García Tenorio
Substitution · Jhegson Mendez Carabali ⇄ Youri Ochoa90+3'
90+10'Goal · Darío Benedetto (assist : Erick Mendoza)

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Independiente del Valle77%lost
- Independiente del Valle finished with ten men: sent off in the 70th minute, 20 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Barcelona SC scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBarcelona SC 6th, Independiente del Valle 1st (Liga Pro)

During the match

During the match40′ opening goal, Independiente del Valle (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match46′ equaliser, Barcelona SC (1-1)
During the match50′ sending-off, Barcelona SC (Pablo Marcelo Trobbiani)
During the match70′ sending-off, Independiente del Valle (Joaquín Papa Monestier)
During the match90′ turnaround, Barcelona SC go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Independiente del Valle” goes from 76% to 73.1% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,459 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga Pro

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes