Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Pro · Ecuador

full time

Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Libertad

1-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–0

Macara

What Janus-12 said

68%

Libertad or draw

71% success over 14 matches in this league

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 25/08, 01:00announced on 15/08/2026, 9 days before kick-off

Liga Pro: Regular season

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	39
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Libertad or draw68%held
- Libertad took the lead in the 5th minute and never let it go.
- Libertad took control early: opening goal in the 5th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLibertad 7th, Macara 3rd (Liga Pro: Regular season)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Libertad (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “Libertad or draw” goes from 71.4% to 73.3% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,858 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Libertad on the left, Macara on the right.

First half

5'Goal · A. Chere (assist : E. Patta)
Yellow card · S. Etchebarne31'
31'Yellow card · J. Bravo
Yellow card · J. Estacio42'

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

54'Yellow card · J. P. Buch
57'Yellow card · J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
Substitution · J. Estacio ⇄ T. Chamba58'
68'Substitution · J. Bravo ⇄ C. Valencia
Substitution · L. Ferro ⇄ M. Cabeza74'
Substitution · A. I. Campana ⇄ J. Klinger74'
76'Substitution · V. Branda ⇄ H. Batalla
76'Substitution · A. Chere ⇄ E. Caicedo
82'Yellow card · X. E. Pineda Arana
Substitution · D. Bolanos ⇄ J. Chala83'
Substitution · J. Cazares ⇄ C. Caicedo83'
89'Substitution · D. Coronel ⇄ S. Bueno

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Libertad or draw68%held
- Libertad took the lead in the 5th minute and never let it go.
- Libertad took control early: opening goal in the 5th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLibertad 7th, Macara 3rd (Liga Pro: Regular season)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Libertad (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “Libertad or draw” goes from 71.4% to 73.3% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,858 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga Pro: Regular season

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes