Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Virsliga · Latvia

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Ogre United

1–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–0

Super Nova

What Janus-12 said

65%

At most 1 goal before half-time

88% success over 24 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: At most 1 goal before half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 03:40.

Sealed on 20/09, 12:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

84% success over 25 matches in this league
80%✗
84% success over 25 matches in this league
84%✓
72% success over 25 matches in this league
67%✓
65% success over 20 matches in this league
78%✗
52% success over 25 matches in this league
57%✗

Virsliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	30	23	5	2	+49	74
2	Riga	31	22	7	2	+56	73
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	+19	61
4	FK Liepaja	31	12	7	12	-2	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	0	39
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	-11	35
7	FS Jelgava	31	8	8	15	-17	32
8	Grobiņa	31	5	11	15	-31	26
9	Tukums	31	5	9	17	-17	24
10	Ogre United	31	4	6	21	-46	18

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At most 1 goal before half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 45′ Ogre United.
Draw or Super Nova80%lost
Under 4.5 goals84%held
Under 3.5 goals67%held
Draw or Super Nova ahead at half-time78%lost
Super Nova to win57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOgre United 10th, Super Nova 6th (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Ogre United (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “At most 1 goal before half-time” goes from 87.5% to 88% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Ogre United on the left, Super Nova on the right.

First half

45+1'Penalty goal · K. Cudars

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · N. Pathe ⇄ V. Lizunovs46'
Substitution · I. Ndiaye ⇄ K. Romanovs46'
62'Substitution · J. Fokam ⇄ A. Marchuk
62'Substitution · M. Ivulans ⇄ I. Pulis
Substitution · Bamba ⇄ A. Glaudans64'
69'Substitution · K. Gulbis ⇄ V. Mashchenko
Yellow card · E. Emsis73'
Substitution · R. Kirss ⇄ M. Tihonovics77'
87'Yellow card · A. Doroshenko
90'Substitution · L. Estevez Fernandez ⇄ R. Ziemelis
90'Substitution · A. Doroshenko ⇄ T. Marusiy

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At most 1 goal before half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 45′ Ogre United.
Draw or Super Nova80%lost
Under 4.5 goals84%held
Under 3.5 goals67%held
Draw or Super Nova ahead at half-time78%lost
Super Nova to win57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOgre United 10th, Super Nova 6th (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Ogre United (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “At most 1 goal before half-time” goes from 87.5% to 88% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Virsliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes