Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Virsliga · Latvia

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Auda

1–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

Rīgas FS

What Janus-12 said

71%

At most 1 goal before half-time

88% success over 26 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 29 %

A prediction at 71 % fails 29 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: At most 1 goal before half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 20/09, 16:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

85% success over 27 matches in this league
90%✓
78% success over 27 matches in this league
83%✓
74% success over 27 matches in this league
75%✓
64% success over 22 matches in this league
85%✓
48% success over 27 matches in this league
60%✗

Virsliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	30	23	5	2	+49	74
2	Riga	31	22	7	2	+56	73
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	+19	61
4	FK Liepaja	31	12	7	12	-2	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	0	39
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	-11	35
7	FS Jelgava	31	8	8	15	-17	32
8	Grobiņa	31	5	11	15	-31	26
9	Tukums	31	5	9	17	-17	24
10	Ogre United	31	4	6	21	-46	18

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At most 1 goal before half-time71%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 21′ Auda, 43′ Rīgas FS.
Under 4.5 goals90%held
Draw or Rīgas FS83%held
Under 3.5 goals75%held
Draw or Rīgas FS ahead at half-time85%held
Rīgas FS to win60%lost
- Rīgas FS chased the score almost all match: Auda scored as early as the 21st minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAuda 3rd, Rīgas FS 1st (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Auda (1-0)
During the match43′ equaliser, Rīgas FS (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “At most 1 goal before half-time” goes from 88.5% to 85.2% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Auda on the left, Rīgas FS on the right.

First half

4'VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside · D. Balodis
20'Substitution · E. Daskevics ⇄ W. Fofana
21'Goal · K. Kone (assist : E. Bongemba)
Goal · R. Ndjiki (assist : L. Odisharia)43'
Yellow card · L. Odisharia45+1'
45+2'Yellow card · B. Diedhiou

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · R. Savalnieks47'
58'Substitution · Y. Traore ⇄ A. Ogunji
59'Substitution · O. Rubenis ⇄ T. Hrvoj
59'Substitution · D. Balodis ⇄ H. Ibrahim
Yellow card · H. Prenga68'
Substitution · A. Kouadio ⇄ D. Lemajic80'
82'Yellow card · T. Hrvoj
Yellow card · S. Panic85'

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At most 1 goal before half-time71%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 21′ Auda, 43′ Rīgas FS.
Under 4.5 goals90%held
Draw or Rīgas FS83%held
Under 3.5 goals75%held
Draw or Rīgas FS ahead at half-time85%held
Rīgas FS to win60%lost
- Rīgas FS chased the score almost all match: Auda scored as early as the 21st minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAuda 3rd, Rīgas FS 1st (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Auda (1-0)
During the match43′ equaliser, Rīgas FS (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “At most 1 goal before half-time” goes from 88.5% to 85.2% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Virsliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes