Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Virsliga · Latvia

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Ogre United

2–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

FK Liepaja

What Janus-12 said

90%

Draw or FK Liepaja

82% success over 17 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or FK Liepaja

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 04:45.

Sealed on 11/09, 15:00announced on 28/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

81% success over 16 matches in this league
56%✓
76% success over 17 matches in this league
76%✓
71% success over 17 matches in this league
57%✗
69% success over 13 matches in this league
89%✗
53% success over 17 matches in this league
73%✗

Virsliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	30	23	5	2	+49	74
2	Riga	31	22	7	2	+56	73
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	+19	61
4	FK Liepaja	31	12	7	12	-2	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	0	39
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	-11	35
7	FS Jelgava	31	8	8	15	-17	32
8	Grobiņa	31	5	11	15	-31	26
9	Tukums	31	5	9	17	-17	24
10	Ogre United	31	4	6	21	-46	18

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or FK Liepaja90%held
At most 1 goal before half-time56%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 38′ Ogre United.
Under 4.5 goals76%held
Under 3.5 goals57%lost
Draw or FK Liepaja ahead at half-time89%lost
FK Liepaja to win73%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOgre United 10th, FK Liepaja 4th (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Ogre United (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match50′ Ogre United go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ FK Liepaja come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or FK Liepaja” goes from 82.4% to 83.3% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Ogre United on the left, FK Liepaja on the right.

First half

3'Yellow card · R. Sibass
Yellow card · C. Torres15'
Substitution · V. Isajevs ⇄ M. Martins29'
38'Goal · L. Estevez Fernandez (assist : A. Doroshenko)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · B. Melnis ⇄ Crysthyan46'
Yellow card · V. Sorokins46'
Substitution · A. Haidara ⇄ B. Almazbekov46'
Substitution · Talisca ⇄ K. Iljins46'
50'Goal · R. Sibass
60'Yellow card · K. Cudars
62'Substitution · J. Grinbergs ⇄ A. Molotkovs
Yellow card · E. Rodolphe67'
68'Substitution · J. Fokam ⇄ I. Pulis
Substitution · E. Rodolphe ⇄ D. Patijcuks69'
76'Substitution · K. Cudars ⇄ A. Marchuk
76'Substitution · A. Doroshenko ⇄ R. Ziemelis
Goal · E. Oloko (assist : D. Patijcuks)79'
Penalty goal · E. Oloko90+9'

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or FK Liepaja90%held
At most 1 goal before half-time56%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 38′ Ogre United.
Under 4.5 goals76%held
Under 3.5 goals57%lost
Draw or FK Liepaja ahead at half-time89%lost
FK Liepaja to win73%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOgre United 10th, FK Liepaja 4th (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Ogre United (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match50′ Ogre United go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ FK Liepaja come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or FK Liepaja” goes from 82.4% to 83.3% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Virsliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes