Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Virsliga · Latvia

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Riga

2-2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

Auda

What Janus-12 said

85%

Riga or draw

82% success over 17 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Riga or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 11/09, 16:00announced on 28/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

81% success over 16 matches in this league
63%✓
76% success over 17 matches in this league
83%✓
71% success over 17 matches in this league
67%✗
69% success over 13 matches in this league
54%✗
53% success over 17 matches in this league
66%✗

Virsliga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	30	23	5	2	+49	74
2	Riga	31	22	7	2	+56	73
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	+19	61
4	FK Liepaja	31	12	7	12	-2	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	0	39
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	-11	35
7	FS Jelgava	31	8	8	15	-17	32
8	Grobiņa	31	5	11	15	-31	26
9	Tukums	31	5	9	17	-17	24
10	Ogre United	31	4	6	21	-46	18

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Riga or draw85%held
- Riga were never behind.
At most 1 goal before half-time63%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 38′ Riga.
Under 4.5 goals83%held
Under 3.5 goals67%lost
Draw or Auda ahead at half-time54%lost
Riga to win66%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Auda scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRiga 2nd, Auda 3rd (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Riga (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match66′ Riga go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ Auda come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Riga or draw” goes from 82.4% to 83.3% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Riga on the left, Auda on the right.

First half

38'Goal · S. Oulad M'Hand
42'Substitution · Paulo Eduardo ⇄ A. Cernomordijs

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Yellow card · Y. Traore51'
Substitution · W. Fofana ⇄ E. Daskevics54'
Substitution · J. Gerold ⇄ J. Minins54'
Yellow card · R. Kragliks56'
64'Substitution · M. Diop ⇄ Caio Ferreira
64'Substitution · Iago Siqueira ⇄ O. Galo
66'Goal · Caio Ferreira (assist : A. Salazar)
Substitution · B. Diedhiou ⇄ B. Pena71'
Substitution · M. Fofana ⇄ S. Koume71'
Goal · A. Appiah (assist : J. Minins)76'
80'Yellow card · A. Salazar
81'Substitution · M. Badamosi ⇄ Reginaldo Ramires
Substitution · O. Rubenis ⇄ A. Ogunji81'
81'Substitution · A. Salazar ⇄ M. Tonisevs
Goal · A. Appiah90+3'

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Riga or draw85%held
- Riga were never behind.
At most 1 goal before half-time63%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 38′ Riga.
Under 4.5 goals83%held
Under 3.5 goals67%lost
Draw or Auda ahead at half-time54%lost
Riga to win66%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Auda scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRiga 2nd, Auda 3rd (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Riga (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match66′ Riga go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ Auda come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Riga or draw” goes from 82.4% to 83.3% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Virsliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes