Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Virsliga · Latvia

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Tukums

2–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–0

Ogre United

What Janus-12 said

76%

Tukums or draw

73% success over 11 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Tukums or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 04:06.

Sealed on 05/09, 13:01announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 10 matches in this league
56%✓
64% success over 11 matches in this league
70%✓
60% success over 10 matches in this league
68%✓
55% success over 11 matches in this league
58%✓

Virsliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	30	23	5	2	+49	74
2	Riga	31	22	7	2	+56	73
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	+19	61
4	FK Liepaja	31	12	7	12	-2	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	0	39
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	-11	35
7	FS Jelgava	31	8	8	15	-17	32
8	Grobiņa	31	5	11	15	-31	26
9	Tukums	31	5	9	17	-17	24
10	Ogre United	31	4	6	21	-46	18

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tukums or draw76%held
At most 1 goal before half-time56%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 34′ Ogre United.
Under 4.5 goals70%held
Draw or Ogre United ahead at half-time68%held
Under 3.5 goals58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTukums 9th, Ogre United 10th (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match34′ opening goal, Ogre United (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match82′ equaliser, Tukums (1-1)
During the match89′ turnaround, Tukums go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Tukums or draw” goes from 72.7% to 75% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Tukums on the left, Ogre United on the right.

First half

Goal · M. Kalnins (assist : L. Estevez Fernandez)34'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

54'Yellow card · R. Melkis
57'Yellow card · M. Stals
60'Substitution · M. Stals ⇄ K. Klavins
60'Substitution · R. Melkis ⇄ D. Valmiers
Yellow card · D. Vejkrigers72'
Yellow card · N. Parfjonovs75'
75'Yellow card · K. Volkovs
Yellow card · A. Kudelkins75'
Substitution · I. Pulis ⇄ J. Fokam76'
Substitution · A. Marchuk ⇄ V. Mashchenko76'
Yellow card · T. Marusiy78'
82'Goal · B. Samoilovs (assist : K. Klavins)
82'Substitution · J. Toba ⇄ K. Shigema
82'Substitution · M. Derkach ⇄ E. Sprukts
Substitution · D. Vejkrigers ⇄ J. Grinbergs85'
Yellow card · T. Mickevics88'
Substitution · T. Mickevics ⇄ M. Ivulans88'
89'Goal · R. Deruzinskis (assist : Anmanis Kaspars)
90+3'Yellow card · Anmanis Kaspars

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tukums or draw76%held
At most 1 goal before half-time56%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 34′ Ogre United.
Under 4.5 goals70%held
Draw or Ogre United ahead at half-time68%held
Under 3.5 goals58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTukums 9th, Ogre United 10th (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match34′ opening goal, Ogre United (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match82′ equaliser, Tukums (1-1)
During the match89′ turnaround, Tukums go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Tukums or draw” goes from 72.7% to 75% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Virsliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes