Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Virsliga · Latvia

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Ogre United

0–3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–2

Rīgas FS

What Janus-12 said

95%

Draw or Rīgas FS

78% success over 9 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Rīgas FS

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 09:31.

Sealed on 30/08, 15:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

67% success over 9 matches in this league
63%✓
63% success over 8 matches in this league
95%✓
56% success over 9 matches in this league
87%✓
56% success over 9 matches in this league
51%✓
48% success over 42 matches, all leagues
50%✗

Virsliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	30	23	5	2	+49	74
2	Riga	31	22	7	2	+56	73
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	+19	61
4	FK Liepaja	31	12	7	12	-2	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	0	39
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	-11	35
7	FS Jelgava	31	8	8	15	-17	32
8	Grobiņa	31	5	11	15	-31	26
9	Tukums	31	5	9	17	-17	24
10	Ogre United	31	4	6	21	-46	18

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Rīgas FS95%held
- Ogre United played 41 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 49th minute.
- Rīgas FS took the lead in the 36th minute and never let it go.
Under 4.5 goals63%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 49th minute, on the Ogre United side.
Draw or Rīgas FS ahead at half-time95%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 36′ Rīgas FS.
Rīgas FS to win87%held
Under 3.5 goals51%held
2 or more goals before half-time50%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOgre United 10th, Rīgas FS 1st (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Rīgas FS (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match49′ sending-off, Ogre United (K. Cudars)
During the match61′ Rīgas FS go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match79′ last goal, Rīgas FS

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Rīgas FS” goes from 77.8% to 80% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Ogre United on the left, Rīgas FS on the right.

First half

9'Yellow card · K. Cudars
Yellow card · D. Zelenkovs23'
34'Yellow card · D. Vejkrigers
Penalty goal · A. Filipovic36'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Substitution · D. Korac ⇄ R. Ndjiki46'
49'Yellow card · K. Cudars
49'Red card · K. Cudars
57'Yellow card · M. Marusii
57'Substitution · D. Vejkrigers ⇄ J. Grinbergs
57'Substitution · A. Marchuk ⇄ J. Fokam
58'Substitution · V. Mashchenko ⇄ T. Mickevics
Penalty goal · A. Filipovic61'
Substitution · L. Odisharia ⇄ M. Saidy62'
70'Substitution · M. Marusii ⇄ K. Gulbis
Substitution · Z. Lipuscek ⇄ N. Sliede73'
Substitution · A. Balde ⇄ D. Lemajic73'
Goal · R. Ndjiki (assist : J. Ikaunieks)79'
82'Substitution · A. Doroshenko ⇄ E. Evelons
Substitution · D. Zelenkovs ⇄ R. Savalnieks82'

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Rīgas FS95%held
- Ogre United played 41 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 49th minute.
- Rīgas FS took the lead in the 36th minute and never let it go.
Under 4.5 goals63%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 49th minute, on the Ogre United side.
Draw or Rīgas FS ahead at half-time95%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 36′ Rīgas FS.
Rīgas FS to win87%held
Under 3.5 goals51%held
2 or more goals before half-time50%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOgre United 10th, Rīgas FS 1st (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Rīgas FS (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match49′ sending-off, Ogre United (K. Cudars)
During the match61′ Rīgas FS go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match79′ last goal, Rīgas FS

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Rīgas FS” goes from 77.8% to 80% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Virsliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes