Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Virsliga · Latvia

full time

Monday, 31 August 2026

FK Liepaja

3–2full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 1–1

Riga

What Janus-12 said

90%

Draw or Riga

78% success over 9 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 10 %

A prediction at 90 % fails 10 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Riga

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 31/08, 15:25.

Sealed on 30/08, 13:00announced on 16/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 9 matches in this league
58%✗
67% success over 9 matches in this league
80%✗
63% success over 8 matches in this league
86%✗
56% success over 9 matches in this league
72%✗
56% success over 9 matches in this league
69%✗

Virsliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	30	23	5	2	+49	74
2	Riga	31	22	7	2	+56	73
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	+19	61
4	FK Liepaja	31	12	7	12	-2	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	0	39
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	-11	35
7	FS Jelgava	31	8	8	15	-17	32
8	Grobiņa	31	5	11	15	-31	26
9	Tukums	31	5	9	17	-17	24
10	Ogre United	31	4	6	21	-46	18

What we announced

0/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Riga90%lost
- Riga chased the score almost all match: FK Liepaja scored as early as the 4th minute.
At most 1 goal before half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 4′ FK Liepaja, 17′ Riga, 27′ FK Liepaja.
Under 4.5 goals80%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 4th minute, 5 in total.
Draw or Riga ahead at half-time86%lost
Riga to win72%lost
Under 3.5 goals69%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFK Liepaja 4th, Riga 2nd (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, FK Liepaja (1-0)
During the match17′ equaliser, Riga (1-1)
During the match27′ FK Liepaja retake the lead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match58′ FK Liepaja go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match90′ last goal, Riga

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Riga” goes from 77.8% to 70% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FK Liepaja on the left, Riga on the right.

First half

4'Goal · E. Oloko (assist : A. Ogunniyi)
6'Yellow card · Talisca
Goal · M. Badamosi (assist : A. Cernomordijs)17'
27'Penalty goal · E. Oloko

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

Substitution · S. L. Robalo Pedro ⇄ M. Diop56'
Substitution · C. Saco ⇄ Iago Siqueira57'
58'Goal · A. Ogunniyi (assist : E. Oloko)
Substitution · Caio Ferreira ⇄ A. Taiwo62'
Yellow card · M. Badamosi63'
65'Substitution · Crysthyan ⇄ B. Melnis
78'Substitution · A. Ogunniyi ⇄ K. Leidsman
78'Yellow card · L. Strumia
Yellow card · A. Taiwo78'
Substitution · M. Tonisevs ⇄ Reginaldo Ramires81'
90'Substitution · E. Oloko ⇄ A. Leite
90+1'Substitution · A. Haidara ⇄ M. Martins
Goal · A. Taiwo90+4'
90+5'Yellow card · K. Leidsman

What we announced

0/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Riga90%lost
- Riga chased the score almost all match: FK Liepaja scored as early as the 4th minute.
At most 1 goal before half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 4′ FK Liepaja, 17′ Riga, 27′ FK Liepaja.
Under 4.5 goals80%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 4th minute, 5 in total.
Draw or Riga ahead at half-time86%lost
Riga to win72%lost
Under 3.5 goals69%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFK Liepaja 4th, Riga 2nd (Virsliga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, FK Liepaja (1-0)
During the match17′ equaliser, Riga (1-1)
During the match27′ FK Liepaja retake the lead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match58′ FK Liepaja go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match90′ last goal, Riga

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Riga” goes from 77.8% to 70% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Virsliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes