Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Meistriliiga · Estonia

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Nõmme United

1–3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–2

Paide

What Janus-12 said

88%

Draw or Paide

79% success over 33 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Paide

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 04:53.

Sealed on 19/09, 15:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 33 matches in this league
71%✓
64% success over 25 matches in this league
86%✓

Meistriliiga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	29	22	6	1	+60	72
2	Flora Tallinn	29	18	1	10	+20	55
3	Paide	29	15	6	8	+12	51
4	Kalju Nomme	29	15	5	9	+25	50
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	-10	44
6	Laagri	29	11	2	16	-7	35
7	Vaprus	29	10	4	15	-18	34
8	Kuressaare	29	8	5	16	-18	29
9	Nõmme United	29	9	1	19	-21	28
10	Trans Narva	29	5	4	20	-43	19

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Paide88%held
- Paide took the lead in the 74th minute and never let it go.
- Paide took control early: opening goal in the 20th minute.
Paide to win71%held
Draw or Paide ahead at half-time86%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 20′ Paide.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNõmme United 9th, Paide 3rd (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the match20′ opening goal, Paide (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match59′ equaliser, Nõmme United (1-1)
During the match74′ Paide retake the lead (1-2)
During the match81′ Paide go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Paide” goes from 78.8% to 79.4% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Nõmme United on the left, Paide on the right.

First half

Goal · M. Miller (assist : J. Palacios)20'
Substitution · H. Anier ⇄ K. Piht43'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

46'Substitution · M. Miil ⇄ A. Truuvaart
56'Substitution · N. Vassiljev ⇄ I. Krasnov
59'Goal · I. Krasnov
66'Substitution · T. Evans ⇄ K. Matas
Substitution · K. Kait ⇄ H. Ojamaa67'
Substitution · Daniel Cabral ⇄ H. Ojamaa67'
69'Yellow card · Z. Beglarishvili
Penalty goal · H. Ojamaa74'
Substitution · D. Luts ⇄ S. Luts77'
Goal · J. Palacios81'
86'Substitution · Z. Beglarishvili ⇄ E. Ounapuu
86'Substitution · A. Torres ⇄ O. Dacosta
Yellow card90'
90+1'Yellow card · M. Palts

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Paide88%held
- Paide took the lead in the 74th minute and never let it go.
- Paide took control early: opening goal in the 20th minute.
Paide to win71%held
Draw or Paide ahead at half-time86%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 20′ Paide.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNõmme United 9th, Paide 3rd (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the match20′ opening goal, Paide (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match59′ equaliser, Nõmme United (1-1)
During the match74′ Paide retake the lead (1-2)
During the match81′ Paide go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Paide” goes from 78.8% to 79.4% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Meistriliiga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes