Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Meistriliiga · Estonia

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Paide

1–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–1

Laagri

What Janus-12 said

86%

Paide or draw

82% success over 28 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 14 %

A prediction at 86 % fails 14 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Paide or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 04:45.

Sealed on 13/09, 12:30announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 28 matches in this league
65%✗
67% success over 6 matches in this league
52%✗

Meistriliiga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	29	22	6	1	+60	72
2	Flora Tallinn	29	18	1	10	+20	55
3	Paide	29	15	6	8	+12	51
4	Kalju Nomme	29	15	5	9	+25	50
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	-10	44
6	Laagri	29	11	2	16	-7	35
7	Vaprus	29	10	4	15	-18	34
8	Kuressaare	29	8	5	16	-18	29
9	Nõmme United	29	9	1	19	-21	28
10	Trans Narva	29	5	4	20	-43	19

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Paide or draw86%lost
- Paide chased the score almost all match: Laagri scored as early as the 9th minute.
Paide to win65%lost
Paide ahead at half-time52%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 9′ Laagri.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePaide 3rd, Laagri 6th (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Laagri (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match53′ equaliser, Paide (1-1)
During the match70′ Laagri retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Paide or draw” goes from 82.1% to 79.3% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Paide on the left, Laagri on the right.

First half

Goal · M. Kelement (assist : H. Palutaja)9'
Yellow card · M. Seck35'
Yellow card · A. Kaevats41'
Yellow card · K. Roomussaar43'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Substitution · A. Kaevats ⇄ S. Suppi46'
Substitution · K. Eerme ⇄ R. Reimaa46'
46'Substitution · Daniel Cabral ⇄ M. Miller
53'Goal · H. Anier
57'Yellow card · Andrade
Substitution · M. Kesa ⇄ I. Bah57'
Yellow card · S. Suppi67'
Substitution · M. Seck ⇄ K. Laur67'
69'Yellow card · M. Miller
Goal · M. Kelement70'
72'Substitution · Andrade ⇄ E. Tur
72'Substitution · D. Luts ⇄ M. Jobarteh
Substitution · Y. E. Assale ⇄ Rudenko Daniil75'
Yellow card · Rudenko Daniil75'
81'Substitution · J. Palacios ⇄ D. Darboe
Yellow card · I. Bah84'
86'Yellow card · H. Anier
90+4'Yellow card
Yellow card90+4'

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Paide or draw86%lost
- Paide chased the score almost all match: Laagri scored as early as the 9th minute.
Paide to win65%lost
Paide ahead at half-time52%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 9′ Laagri.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePaide 3rd, Laagri 6th (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Laagri (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match53′ equaliser, Paide (1-1)
During the match70′ Laagri retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Paide or draw” goes from 82.1% to 79.3% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Meistriliiga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes