Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Meistriliiga · Estonia

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Vaprus

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Nõmme United

What Janus-12 said

79%

Vaprus or draw

75% success over 16 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Vaprus or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 04:54.

Sealed on 05/09, 15:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

69% success over 16 matches in this league
54%✓
64% success over 14 matches in this league
62%✓

Meistriliiga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	29	22	6	1	+60	72
2	Flora Tallinn	29	18	1	10	+20	55
3	Paide	29	15	6	8	+12	51
4	Kalju Nomme	29	15	5	9	+25	50
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	-10	44
6	Laagri	29	11	2	16	-7	35
7	Vaprus	29	10	4	15	-18	34
8	Kuressaare	29	8	5	16	-18	29
9	Nõmme United	29	9	1	19	-21	28
10	Trans Narva	29	5	4	20	-43	19

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Vaprus or draw79%held
- Vaprus took the lead in the 51st minute and never let it go.
Vaprus to win54%held
Draw or Nõmme United ahead at half-time62%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVaprus 7th, Nõmme United 9th (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match51′ opening goal, Vaprus (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Vaprus or draw” goes from 75% to 76.5% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Vaprus on the left, Nõmme United on the right.

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Substitution · I. Krasnov ⇄ O. Dacosta46'
51'Goal · T. Pajo
Yellow card · K. Matas59'
64'Yellow card · M. Villota
Substitution · A. Alteberg ⇄ H. Jarvelaid68'
Substitution · K. Oostenbrink ⇄ N. Vassiljev68'
74'Substitution · S. Viidas ⇄ V. Vallik
78'Yellow card · K. Aloe
81'Substitution · S. Kapper ⇄ J. Poder
81'Substitution · M. Villota ⇄ R. Orm
82'Yellow card · M. Limberg
87'Substitution · T. Pajo ⇄ U. Nomm
Substitution · B. Chisala ⇄ K. Laanelaid90'
90+3'Yellow card · J. Poder
Yellow card · H. Jarvelaid90+4'

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Vaprus or draw79%held
- Vaprus took the lead in the 51st minute and never let it go.
Vaprus to win54%held
Draw or Nõmme United ahead at half-time62%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVaprus 7th, Nõmme United 9th (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match51′ opening goal, Vaprus (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Vaprus or draw” goes from 75% to 76.5% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Meistriliiga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes