Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Meistriliiga · Estonia

full time

Sunday, 23 August 2026

Paide

4-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 3–0

Nõmme United

What Janus-12 said

86%

Paide or draw

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 23/08, 15:00announced on 15/08/2026, 8 days before kick-off

poster not sealed at kick-off: success rates are not shown

Meistriliiga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	29	22	6	1	+60	72
2	Flora Tallinn	29	18	1	10	+20	55
3	Paide	29	15	6	8	+12	51
4	Kalju Nomme	29	15	5	9	+25	50
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	-10	44
6	Laagri	29	11	2	16	-7	35
7	Vaprus	29	10	4	15	-18	34
8	Kuressaare	29	8	5	16	-18	29
9	Nõmme United	29	9	1	19	-21	28
10	Trans Narva	29	5	4	20	-43	19

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Paide to win65%held
- Paide took the lead in the 49th minute and never let it go.
- Paide took control early: opening goal in the 27th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePaide 3rd, Nõmme United 9th (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Paide (1-0)
During the match30′ equaliser, Nõmme United (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match49′ Paide retake the lead (2-1)
During the match75′ Paide go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match77′ last goal, Paide
During the match89′ sending-off, Nõmme United (I. Krasnov)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,566 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Paide on the left, Nõmme United on the right.

First half

25'Substitution · N. Baranov ⇄ M. Lilander
27'Goal · K. Kait (assist : M. P. Sohna)
Goal · K. Oostenbrink30'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

49'Goal · A. Badamosi
53'Yellow card · K. Kait
55'Substitution · K. Kait ⇄ H. Ojamaa
55'Substitution · A. Surogin ⇄ H. Ojamaa
Substitution · K. Laanelaid ⇄ I. Krasnov67'
Substitution · A. Alteberg ⇄ S. Geiger67'
Yellow card · I. Krasnov70'
70'Substitution · A. Badamosi ⇄ H. Anier
70'Substitution · D. Luts ⇄ J. Palacios
75'Goal · H. Anier
77'Goal · H. Anier
Substitution · B. Chisala ⇄ A. Truuvaart78'
Substitution · K. Matas ⇄ A. Kaspar78'
Substitution · A. Frolov ⇄ G. Kabal83'
Yellow card · Z. Beglarishvili88'
Yellow card · I. Krasnov89'
Red card · I. Krasnov89'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Paide to win65%held
- Paide took the lead in the 49th minute and never let it go.
- Paide took control early: opening goal in the 27th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePaide 3rd, Nõmme United 9th (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Paide (1-0)
During the match30′ equaliser, Nõmme United (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match49′ Paide retake the lead (2-1)
During the match75′ Paide go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match77′ last goal, Paide
During the match89′ sending-off, Nõmme United (I. Krasnov)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,566 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Meistriliiga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes