Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Meistriliiga · Estonia

full time

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Paide

2–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Vaprus

What Janus-12 said

81%

Paide or draw

80% success over 30 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Paide or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 16/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 16/09, 17:00announced on 02/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 30 matches in this league
59%✓
65% success over 23 matches in this league
55%✗

Meistriliiga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	29	22	6	1	+60	72
2	Flora Tallinn	29	18	1	10	+20	55
3	Paide	29	15	6	8	+12	51
4	Kalju Nomme	29	15	5	9	+25	50
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	-10	44
6	Laagri	29	11	2	16	-7	35
7	Vaprus	29	10	4	15	-18	34
8	Kuressaare	29	8	5	16	-18	29
9	Nõmme United	29	9	1	19	-21	28
10	Trans Narva	29	5	4	20	-43	19

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Paide or draw81%held
- Paide took the lead in the 4th minute and never let it go.
- Paide took control early: opening goal in the 4th minute.
Paide to win59%held
Draw or Vaprus ahead at half-time55%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 4′ Paide.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePaide 3rd, Vaprus 7th (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Paide (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ Paide go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Paide or draw” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,827 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Paide on the left, Vaprus on the right.

First half

4'Goal · J. Palacios (assist : E. Tur)
Yellow card · H. Valja12'
22'Yellow card · M. P. Sohna
Yellow card · M. Lipp45+3'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

53'Substitution · Daniel Cabral ⇄ R. Smirnov
Substitution · J. Poder ⇄ V. Vallik77'
Substitution · S. Viidas ⇄ R. Orm77'
Substitution · M. Villota ⇄ S. Kapper77'
78'Substitution · S. Luts ⇄ H. Ojamaa
78'Substitution · K. Piht ⇄ D. Luts
84'Substitution · M. Lilander ⇄ H. Ojamaa
84'Substitution · E. Tur ⇄ K. Kait
90+2'Goal · J. Palacios

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Paide or draw81%held
- Paide took the lead in the 4th minute and never let it go.
- Paide took control early: opening goal in the 4th minute.
Paide to win59%held
Draw or Vaprus ahead at half-time55%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 4′ Paide.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePaide 3rd, Vaprus 7th (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Paide (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ Paide go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Paide or draw” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,827 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Meistriliiga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes