Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Meistriliiga · Estonia

full time

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

Tammeka

3-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–0

Flora Tallinn

What Janus-12 said

82%

Draw or Flora Tallinn

78% success over 9 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 18 %

A prediction at 82 % fails 18 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or Flora Tallinn

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/08, 16:14.

Sealed on 26/08, 17:00announced on 15/08/2026, 11 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

67% success over 9 matches in this league
60%✗
56% success over 9 matches in this league
80%✓

Meistriliiga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	29	22	6	1	+60	72
2	Flora Tallinn	29	18	1	10	+20	55
3	Paide	29	15	6	8	+12	51
4	Kalju Nomme	29	15	5	9	+25	50
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	-10	44
6	Laagri	29	11	2	16	-7	35
7	Vaprus	29	10	4	15	-18	34
8	Kuressaare	29	8	5	16	-18	29
9	Nõmme United	29	9	1	19	-21	28
10	Trans Narva	29	5	4	20	-43	19

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Flora Tallinn82%lost
Flora Tallinn to win60%lost
Draw or Flora Tallinn ahead at half-time80%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 33′ Flora Tallinn, 36′ Tammeka.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTammeka 5th, Flora Tallinn 2nd (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the match33′ opening goal, Flora Tallinn (0-1)
During the match36′ equaliser, Tammeka (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match49′ turnaround, Tammeka go ahead (2-1)
During the match77′ turnaround, Tammeka go ahead (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Flora Tallinn” goes from 77.8% to 70% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,107 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Tammeka on the left, Flora Tallinn on the right.

First half

Yellow card · R. Valdmets24'
25'Yellow card · P. Veelma
Goal · S. Alamaa (assist : T. Usta)33'
36'Goal · M. Sambe (assist : Thomas Lisboa)
Yellow card · S. Alamaa38'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

49'Goal · Pedro Manoel
50'Yellow card · J. Amijekori
62'Yellow card · Thomas Lisboa
Substitution · T. Usta ⇄ R. Alliku62'
Substitution · I. Antonov ⇄ S. Tovstik62'
64'Substitution · Thomas Lisboa ⇄ M. Hydara
64'Substitution · R. Muur ⇄ Kauan Pereira
Substitution · M. Kukkonen ⇄ D. Zotov65'
72'Substitution · T. Lang ⇄ H. Pedmanson
72'Substitution · L. Ounpuu ⇄ R. Laabus
Yellow card · M. Kolobov75'
77'Goal · P. Veelma
81'Substitution · G. Uggeri ⇄ M. Vaino
Substitution · D. Kuraksin ⇄ A. Kollo81'
Yellow card · S. Tovstik85'
90'Yellow card · Kauan Pereira
Yellow card · A. Kollo90+2'

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Flora Tallinn82%lost
Flora Tallinn to win60%lost
Draw or Flora Tallinn ahead at half-time80%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 33′ Flora Tallinn, 36′ Tammeka.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTammeka 5th, Flora Tallinn 2nd (Meistriliiga)

During the match

During the match33′ opening goal, Flora Tallinn (0-1)
During the match36′ equaliser, Tammeka (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match49′ turnaround, Tammeka go ahead (2-1)
During the match77′ turnaround, Tammeka go ahead (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Flora Tallinn” goes from 77.8% to 70% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,107 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Meistriliiga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes