Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Erovnuli Liga · Georgia

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 14 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Monday 14 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 09/09.

Dinamo Tbilisi

4–0full timeHT 3–0 · 2H 1–0

Gagra

What Janus-12 said

80%

Dinamo Tbilisi or draw

67% success over 27 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Dinamo Tbilisi or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 14/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 14/09, 18:00announced on 31/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

41% success over 27 matches in this league
57%✓

Umaglesi Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	13	9	5	+15	48
2	Dinamo Batumi	27	13	8	6	+10	47
3	Rustavi	27	13	7	7	+9	46
4	Saburtalo	27	14	4	9	+8	46
5	Dila	27	12	4	11	+8	40
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	27	9	9	9	+9	36
7	Samgurali	27	9	5	13	-14	32
8	Gagra	27	6	11	10	-12	29
9	Spaeri	27	5	10	12	-9	25
10	Meshakhte	27	2	11	14	-24	17

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Dinamo Tbilisi or draw80%held
- Gagra played 27 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 63rd minute.
- Dinamo Tbilisi took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
Dinamo Tbilisi to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDinamo Tbilisi 1st, Gagra 8th (Umaglesi Liga)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Dinamo Tbilisi (1-0)
During the match35′ Dinamo Tbilisi go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match63′ sending-off, Gagra (augusto)

What it changes

In this league, “Dinamo Tbilisi or draw” goes from 66.7% to 67.9% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,517 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Dinamo Tbilisi on the left, Gagra on the right.

First half

3'Goal · Nika Ninua (assist : santos leo)
Yellow card · davit mujiri30'
35'Goal · Giorgi Kharaishvili (assist : Maxime teixeira)
Yellow card · augusto44'
45'Goal · Giorgi Kharaishvili

Half-time3 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Guram Goshteliani ⇄ Cesar Vinicius46'
Substitution · davit mujiri ⇄ Andrey andreychuk46'
57'Substitution · Khalid doltmurziev ⇄ Mate Vatsadze
57'Substitution · Giorgi Kharaishvili ⇄ Lyes Houri
Substitution · Viktor Bliznichenko ⇄ Richmond Adeyeye57'
Substitution · Cesar Vinicius ⇄ Saba Zoidze62'
Red card · augusto63'
64'Goal · Numan Kurdic (assist : Nika Ninua)
Substitution · alexander feikrishvili ⇄ yazly nazarov69'
70'Substitution · Maxime teixeira ⇄ tornike kvaratskhelia
74'Substitution · santos leo ⇄ Gabriel Gogua
74'Substitution · Jaba Kankava ⇄ koba kakashvili
90+2'Yellow card

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Dinamo Tbilisi or draw80%held
- Gagra played 27 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 63rd minute.
- Dinamo Tbilisi took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
Dinamo Tbilisi to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDinamo Tbilisi 1st, Gagra 8th (Umaglesi Liga)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Dinamo Tbilisi (1-0)
During the match35′ Dinamo Tbilisi go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match63′ sending-off, Gagra (augusto)

What it changes

In this league, “Dinamo Tbilisi or draw” goes from 66.7% to 67.9% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,517 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Umaglesi Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes