Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Erovnuli Liga · Georgia

full time

Monday, 31 August 2026

Gagra

2–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Saburtalo

What Janus-12 said

76%

Draw or Saburtalo

89% success over 9 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 24 %

A prediction at 76 % fails 24 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Saburtalo

1xBet
BetPawa
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 31/08, 15:40.

Sealed on 30/08, 16:00announced on 16/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Umaglesi Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	13	9	5	+15	48
2	Dinamo Batumi	27	13	8	6	+10	47
3	Rustavi	27	13	7	7	+9	46
4	Saburtalo	27	14	4	9	+8	46
5	Dila	27	12	4	11	+8	40
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	27	9	9	9	+9	36
7	Samgurali	27	9	5	13	-14	32
8	Gagra	27	6	11	10	-12	29
9	Spaeri	27	5	10	12	-9	25
10	Meshakhte	27	2	11	14	-24	17

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Saburtalo76%lost
- Saburtalo chased the score almost all match: Gagra scored as early as the 12th minute.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Gagra scored in the 82nd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGagra 8th, Saburtalo 4th (Umaglesi Liga)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Gagra (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match82′ Gagra go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Saburtalo” goes from 88.9% to 80% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Gagra on the left, Saburtalo on the right.

First half

9'Yellow card · L. Gurchiani
12'Goal · G. Goshteliani
Substitution · S. Ende ⇄ Lucas Cafe38'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · I. Alhassan ⇄ A. Dzagania46'
60'Substitution · L. Gurchiani ⇄ G. Khachidze
69'Substitution · G. Goshteliani ⇄ M. Tsintsadze
69'Substitution · A. Andreychuk ⇄ D. Mujiri
Substitution · G. Kobuladze ⇄ S. Figueredo77'
Yellow card · S. Figueredo78'
82'Penalty goal · D. Mujiri
83'Substitution · A. Peikrishvili ⇄ Vinicius Cesar

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Saburtalo76%lost
- Saburtalo chased the score almost all match: Gagra scored as early as the 12th minute.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Gagra scored in the 82nd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGagra 8th, Saburtalo 4th (Umaglesi Liga)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Gagra (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match82′ Gagra go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Saburtalo” goes from 88.9% to 80% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Umaglesi Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes