Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 3 October at 19:00. Originally planned for Saturday 3 October at 21:00.

Change noted on 26/09.

San Miguel

0–2full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–2

Atletico Mitre

What Janus-12 said

92%

Under 4.5 goals

98% success over 130 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/10, 15:40.

Sealed on 03/10, 19:00announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

87% success over 130 matches in this league
84%✓
79% success over 134 matches in this league
71%✗
64% success over 130 matches in this league
67%✓
56% success over 129 matches in this league
63%✓

Group 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	+9	61
2	Deportivo Moron	32	17	7	8	+19	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	+13	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	32	14	11	7	+18	53
5	Colon Santa Fe	32	14	10	8	+14	52
6	Almirante Brown	32	12	10	10	+4	46
7	CA Estudiantes	32	12	9	11	+2	45
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	32	11	12	9	-1	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	+2	40
10	Chaco For Ever	32	9	10	13	-3	37
11	Defensores De Belgrano	32	8	13	11	-4	37
12	San Telmo	32	9	10	13	-8	37
13	Racing Cordoba	32	9	10	13	-10	37
14	Atletico Mitre	32	7	14	11	-10	35
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	-9	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	-10	33
17	San Miguel	32	6	13	13	-13	31
18	Acassuso	32	7	8	17	-13	29

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Under 3.5 goals84%held
San Miguel or draw71%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Atletico Mitre scored in the 90th minute.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 90th minute came from a substitute.
Under 2.5 goals67%held
Over 1.5 goals63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSan Miguel 17th, Atletico Mitre 14th (Group 1)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match56′ opening goal, Atletico Mitre (0-1)
During the match90′ Atletico Mitre go 2 goals up (0-2)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: A. Lopez (Atletico Mitre)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.7% to 97.7% success rate, over 131 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

San Miguel on the left, Atletico Mitre on the right.

First half

Substitution · D. Abello ⇄ B. Mieres43'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Substitution · M. Vazquez ⇄ M. Maldonado46'
49'Yellow card · I. Ramirez
55'Yellow card · K. Ceceri
Goal · M. Machado56'
57'Yellow card · D. Adin
Yellow card · O. Garrido61'
65'Substitution · L. Desabato ⇄ B. Nasta
65'Substitution · J. Ferrero ⇄ M. Serra
65'Substitution · D. Adin ⇄ F. Almeida
Yellow card · P. Minissale67'
Substitution · O. Garrido ⇄ S. Rodriguez67'
Substitution · P. Minissale ⇄ A. Lopez74'
Substitution · S. Rosales ⇄ J. Zarate74'
76'Substitution · E. De la Cruz ⇄ M. Oses
84'Substitution · I. Ramirez ⇄ T. Jerez
Yellow card · B. Mieres90+1'
Goal · A. Lopez (assist : M. Maldonado)90+4'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Under 3.5 goals84%held
San Miguel or draw71%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Atletico Mitre scored in the 90th minute.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 90th minute came from a substitute.
Under 2.5 goals67%held
Over 1.5 goals63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSan Miguel 17th, Atletico Mitre 14th (Group 1)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match56′ opening goal, Atletico Mitre (0-1)
During the match90′ Atletico Mitre go 2 goals up (0-2)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: A. Lopez (Atletico Mitre)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.7% to 97.7% success rate, over 131 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes