Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Friday, 2 October 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 2 October at 23:00. Originally planned for Saturday 3 October at 21:00.

Change noted on 30/09.

Ferro Carril Oeste

0–2full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–2

Deportivo Madryn

What Janus-12 said

95%

Under 4.5 goals

98% success over 129 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
Betsson
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 02/10, 20:30.

Sealed on 02/10, 23:00announced on 20/09/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

87% success over 129 matches in this league
85%✓
80% success over 133 matches in this league
77%✗
64% success over 129 matches in this league
69%✓
55% success over 128 matches in this league
58%✓

Group 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	+9	61
2	Deportivo Moron	32	17	7	8	+19	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	+13	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	32	14	11	7	+18	53
5	Colon Santa Fe	32	14	10	8	+14	52
6	Almirante Brown	32	12	10	10	+4	46
7	CA Estudiantes	32	12	9	11	+2	45
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	32	11	12	9	-1	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	+2	40
10	Chaco For Ever	32	9	10	13	-3	37
11	Defensores De Belgrano	32	8	13	11	-4	37
12	San Telmo	32	9	10	13	-8	37
13	Racing Cordoba	32	9	10	13	-10	37
14	Atletico Mitre	32	7	14	11	-10	35
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	-9	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	-10	33
17	San Miguel	32	6	13	13	-13	31
18	Acassuso	32	7	8	17	-13	29

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals95%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 62nd minute, on the Ferro Carril Oeste side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Under 3.5 goals85%held
Ferro Carril Oeste or draw77%lost
- Ferro Carril Oeste finished with ten men: sent off in the 62nd minute, 28 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Deportivo Madryn scored in the 90th minute.
Under 2.5 goals69%held
Over 1.5 goals58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFerro Carril Oeste 1st, Deportivo Madryn 4th (Group 1)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match62′ sending-off, Ferro Carril Oeste (G. Canto)
During the match78′ opening goal, Deportivo Madryn (0-1)
During the match90′ Deportivo Madryn go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.7% to 97.7% success rate, over 130 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,029 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Ferro Carril Oeste on the left, Deportivo Madryn on the right.

First half

Yellow card · N. Solis41'
44'Yellow card · G. Canto

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Substitution · J. Cosi ⇄ A. Dionisio54'
Yellow card · A. Dionisio57'
Yellow card · L. Marinucci61'
62'Yellow card · G. Canto
62'Red card · G. Canto
65'Substitution · N. Reniero ⇄ M. Taron
67'Missed penalty · E. Dening (assist : E. Dening)
Substitution · M. Meli ⇄ J. Peinipil70'
Substitution · L. Marinucci ⇄ E. Montagna70'
73'Yellow card · M. Taron
74'Substitution · A. Gonzalez ⇄ L. Marra
74'Substitution · E. Dening ⇄ S. Garcia
Goal · E. Montagna (assist : L. Silba)78'
78'Substitution · E. Hoyos ⇄ J. Menendez
78'Substitution · M. Kabalin ⇄ G. Castellani
84'Yellow card · L. Marra
Substitution · F. Giacopuzzi ⇄ A. Gutierrez90'
Substitution · L. Silba ⇄ D. Martinez90'
Goal · J. Peinipil90+2'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals95%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 62nd minute, on the Ferro Carril Oeste side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Under 3.5 goals85%held
Ferro Carril Oeste or draw77%lost
- Ferro Carril Oeste finished with ten men: sent off in the 62nd minute, 28 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Deportivo Madryn scored in the 90th minute.
Under 2.5 goals69%held
Over 1.5 goals58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFerro Carril Oeste 1st, Deportivo Madryn 4th (Group 1)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match62′ sending-off, Ferro Carril Oeste (G. Canto)
During the match78′ opening goal, Deportivo Madryn (0-1)
During the match90′ Deportivo Madryn go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.7% to 97.7% success rate, over 130 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,029 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes