Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 3 October at 19:00. Originally planned for Saturday 3 October at 21:00.

Change noted on 26/09.

Deportivo Moron

2–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

All Boys

What Janus-12 said

93%

Under 4.5 goals

98% success over 130 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 2 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 19:00announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

87% success over 130 matches in this league
83%✓
79% success over 134 matches in this league
79%✓
64% success over 130 matches in this league
63%✗
56% success over 129 matches in this league
62%✓
50% success over 134 matches in this league
50%✓

Group 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	+9	61
2	Deportivo Moron	32	17	7	8	+19	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	+13	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	32	14	11	7	+18	53
5	Colon Santa Fe	32	14	10	8	+14	52
6	Almirante Brown	32	12	10	10	+4	46
7	CA Estudiantes	32	12	9	11	+2	45
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	32	11	12	9	-1	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	+2	40
10	Chaco For Ever	32	9	10	13	-3	37
11	Defensores De Belgrano	32	8	13	11	-4	37
12	San Telmo	32	9	10	13	-8	37
13	Racing Cordoba	32	9	10	13	-10	37
14	Atletico Mitre	32	7	14	11	-10	35
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	-9	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	-10	33
17	San Miguel	32	6	13	13	-13	31
18	Acassuso	32	7	8	17	-13	29

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
Under 3.5 goals83%held
Deportivo Moron or draw79%held
- Deportivo Moron took the lead in the 89th minute and never let it go.
- Deportivo Moron took control early: opening goal in the 29th minute.
Under 2.5 goals63%lost
Over 1.5 goals62%held
Deportivo Moron to win50%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Moron 2nd, All Boys 16th (Group 1)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Deportivo Moron (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match79′ equaliser, All Boys (1-1)
Line-up79′ the goal came off the bench: M. Nouet (All Boys)
During the match89′ Deportivo Moron retake the lead (2-1)
Line-up89′ the goal came off the bench: F. Toloza (Deportivo Moron)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.7% to 97.7% success rate, over 131 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Deportivo Moron on the left, All Boys on the right.

First half

12'Yellow card · J. Olivares
13'Yellow card · J. Livera
Yellow card · F. Quiroz16'
29'Goal · M. Levato

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · F. Quiroz ⇄ L. Jara63'
Substitution · S. Apa ⇄ T. Calone63'
Substitution · N. Barrientos ⇄ M. Nouet71'
Substitution · L. Leguizamon ⇄ Rodriguez Matias71'
77'Substitution · J. Olivares ⇄ E. Franco
77'Substitution · M. Bittolo ⇄ F. Toloza
77'Substitution · M. Levato ⇄ G. Gonzalez
Goal · M. Nouet (assist : L. Cano)79'
81'Substitution · M. Gonzalez ⇄ G. Berterame
Substitution · L. Cano ⇄ G. Turraca83'
86'Substitution · E. Iniguez ⇄ J. Esquivel
Yellow card · M. Nouet87'
89'Goal · F. Toloza (assist : G. Gonzalez)

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
Under 3.5 goals83%held
Deportivo Moron or draw79%held
- Deportivo Moron took the lead in the 89th minute and never let it go.
- Deportivo Moron took control early: opening goal in the 29th minute.
Under 2.5 goals63%lost
Over 1.5 goals62%held
Deportivo Moron to win50%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Moron 2nd, All Boys 16th (Group 1)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Deportivo Moron (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match79′ equaliser, All Boys (1-1)
Line-up79′ the goal came off the bench: M. Nouet (All Boys)
During the match89′ Deportivo Moron retake the lead (2-1)
Line-up89′ the goal came off the bench: F. Toloza (Deportivo Moron)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.7% to 97.7% success rate, over 131 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes