Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Saturday 26 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Saturday 26 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 10/09.

Quilmes

2-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Club Atlético Güemes

What Janus-12 said

93%

Under 4.5 goals

97% success over 111 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 04:46.

Sealed on 26/09, 20:00announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 111 matches in this league
83%✓
83% success over 115 matches in this league
77%✓
64% success over 111 matches in this league
62%✓
56% success over 110 matches in this league
63%✓

Group 2

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	32	15	13	4	+17	58
2	Temperley	32	15	11	6	+12	56
3	Atlanta	32	17	4	11	+8	55
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	+8	54
5	Midland	32	13	9	10	+8	48
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	32	13	9	10	+4	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	+8	47
8	Colegiales	32	13	7	12	+1	46
9	San Martin S.J.	32	12	9	11	+2	45
10	San Martin T.	32	10	13	9	+3	43
11	Atl. Rafaela	32	11	9	12	-3	42
12	Quilmes	32	10	9	13	+3	39
13	Almagro	32	10	8	14	-10	38
14	Agropecuario	32	9	10	13	-9	37
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	-7	36
16	Patronato	32	6	16	10	-5	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	32	9	6	17	-9	33
18	Club Atlético Güemes	32	5	8	19	-31	23

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
Under 3.5 goals83%held
Quilmes or draw77%held
- Quilmes took the lead in the 9th minute and never let it go.
- Quilmes took control early: opening goal in the 9th minute.
Under 2.5 goals62%held
Over 1.5 goals63%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 9th minute, 2 in total.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableQuilmes 12th, Club Atlético Güemes 18th (Group 2)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Quilmes (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ Quilmes go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.3% to 97.3% success rate, over 112 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Quilmes on the left, Club Atlético Güemes on the right.

First half

9'Penalty goal · A. Lavezzi
Yellow card · L. Guinazu15'

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

46'Substitution · A. Lavezzi ⇄ G. Vega
Substitution · G. Pugliese ⇄ R. Silisque55'
Substitution · I. Ortigoza ⇄ A. Pinto55'
Substitution · L. Guinazu ⇄ J. Sanchez55'
Substitution · S. G. Sala ⇄ S. Farrera69'
75'Substitution · U. Vera ⇄ M. Fernandez
81'Substitution · M. Vallejos ⇄ A. Ortega
85'Substitution · A. Spetale ⇄ P. Bonacci
85'Substitution · A. Bolivar ⇄ J. Yangali
90+1'Goal · G. Vega (assist : P. Bonacci)
Yellow card · M. Benitez90+3'

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
Under 3.5 goals83%held
Quilmes or draw77%held
- Quilmes took the lead in the 9th minute and never let it go.
- Quilmes took control early: opening goal in the 9th minute.
Under 2.5 goals62%held
Over 1.5 goals63%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 9th minute, 2 in total.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableQuilmes 12th, Club Atlético Güemes 18th (Group 2)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Quilmes (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ Quilmes go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.3% to 97.3% success rate, over 112 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes