Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 27 September at 00:00. Originally planned for Saturday 26 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 10/09.

Colegiales

2-1full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 0–0

Chacarita Juniors

What Janus-12 said

93%

Under 4.5 goals

97% success over 115 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where this market is covered· 5 bookmakers

Market covered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
SportyBet

We show the implied probability, not the operator's price. Availability checked on 26/09, 05:00.

Sealed on 27/09, 00:00announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other forecasts, most reliable first

87% success over 115 matches in this league
84%✓
83% success over 119 matches in this league
78%✓
63% success over 115 matches in this league
63%✗
57% success over 114 matches in this league
63%✓

Group 2

as of 08/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	32	15	13	4	+17	58
2	Temperley	32	15	11	6	+12	56
3	Atlanta	32	17	4	11	+8	55
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	+8	54
5	Midland	32	13	9	10	+8	48
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	32	13	9	10	+4	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	+8	47
8	Colegiales	32	13	7	12	+1	46
9	San Martin S.J.	32	12	9	11	+2	45
10	San Martin T.	32	10	13	9	+3	43
11	Atl. Rafaela	32	11	9	12	-3	42
12	Quilmes	32	10	9	13	+3	39
13	Almagro	32	10	8	14	-10	38
14	Agropecuario	32	9	10	13	-9	37
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	-7	36
16	Patronato	32	6	16	10	-5	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	32	9	6	17	-9	33
18	Club Atlético Güemes	32	5	8	19	-31	23

What we announced

4/5

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 74th minute, on the Colegiales side.
Under 3.5 goals84%held
Colegiales or draw78%held
- Colegiales held on with ten men for 16 minutes (sent off in the 74th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Colegiales took the lead in the 40th minute and never let it go.
Under 2.5 goals63%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 16th minute, 3 in total.
Over 1.5 goals63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableColegiales 8th, Chacarita Juniors 17th (Group 2)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Colegiales (1-0)
During the match37′ equaliser, Chacarita Juniors (1-1)
During the match40′ Colegiales retake the lead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match74′ sending-off, Colegiales (M. Ramirez)
During the match90′ sending-off, Chacarita Juniors (S. Vittor)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.4% to 97.4% success rate, over 116 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Colegiales on the left, Chacarita Juniors on the right.

First half

16'Goal · M. Albertengo (assist : R. E. Monserrat)
Goal · C. Guanca (assist : M. Sanabria)37'
40'Goal · L. Ortiz
41'Yellow card · L. Ortiz
Yellow card · A. Dominguez41'

Half-time2 - 1

Second half

49'Yellow card · F. Montiel
Yellow card · N. Pantaleone49'
56'Substitution · F. Hanashiro ⇄ M. Ramirez
Substitution · M. Leyendeker ⇄ F. Facello64'
66'Substitution · F. Malagueno ⇄ E. Ocampo
66'Substitution · R. E. Monserrat ⇄ C. Gaston
71'Substitution · L. Gonzalez ⇄ F. Zicarelli
72'Substitution · M. Albertengo ⇄ N. Toloza
Substitution · M. Sanabria ⇄ T. Zarate73'
74'Red card · M. Ramirez
Yellow card · A. Cuello81'
Substitution · A. Cuello ⇄ F. Cristaldo83'
Substitution · B. Calderara ⇄ N. Chaves83'
90+1'Yellow card · N. Toloza
90+1'Yellow card · F. Zicarelli
Red card · S. Vittor90+4'

What we announced

4/5

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 74th minute, on the Colegiales side.
Under 3.5 goals84%held
Colegiales or draw78%held
- Colegiales held on with ten men for 16 minutes (sent off in the 74th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Colegiales took the lead in the 40th minute and never let it go.
Under 2.5 goals63%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 16th minute, 3 in total.
Over 1.5 goals63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableColegiales 8th, Chacarita Juniors 17th (Group 2)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Colegiales (1-0)
During the match37′ equaliser, Chacarita Juniors (1-1)
During the match40′ Colegiales retake the lead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match74′ sending-off, Colegiales (M. Ramirez)
During the match90′ sending-off, Chacarita Juniors (S. Vittor)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.4% to 97.4% success rate, over 116 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes