Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 27 September at 19:30. Originally planned for Saturday 26 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 10/09.

Atlanta

1-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–0

Agropecuario

What Janus-12 said

94%

Under 4.5 goals

97% success over 118 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where this market is covered· 6 bookmakers

Market covered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
SportyBet

We show the implied probability, not the operator's price. Availability checked on 27/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 27/09, 19:30announced on 14/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other forecasts, most reliable first

87% success over 118 matches in this league
85%✓
83% success over 122 matches in this league
76%✓
64% success over 118 matches in this league
67%✓
56% success over 117 matches in this league
61%✗

Group 2

as of 08/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	32	15	13	4	+17	58
2	Temperley	32	15	11	6	+12	56
3	Atlanta	32	17	4	11	+8	55
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	+8	54
5	Midland	32	13	9	10	+8	48
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	32	13	9	10	+4	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	+8	47
8	Colegiales	32	13	7	12	+1	46
9	San Martin S.J.	32	12	9	11	+2	45
10	San Martin T.	32	10	13	9	+3	43
11	Atl. Rafaela	32	11	9	12	-3	42
12	Quilmes	32	10	9	13	+3	39
13	Almagro	32	10	8	14	-10	38
14	Agropecuario	32	9	10	13	-9	37
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	-7	36
16	Patronato	32	6	16	10	-5	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	32	9	6	17	-9	33
18	Club Atlético Güemes	32	5	8	19	-31	23

What we announced

4/5

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals94%held
Under 3.5 goals85%held
Atlanta or draw76%held
- Atlanta took the lead in the 16th minute and never let it go.
- Atlanta took control early: opening goal in the 16th minute.
Under 2.5 goals67%held
Over 1.5 goals61%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtlanta 3rd, Agropecuario 14th (Group 2)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Atlanta (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.5% to 97.5% success rate, over 119 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,127 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Atlanta on the left, Agropecuario on the right.

First half

16'Goal · F. Alvarez
32'Yellow card · R. Moreira

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

46'Substitution · T. Rojas ⇄ P. Ostachuk
Substitution · F. Sanchez ⇄ F. Perez46'
Yellow card · A. Gagliardi53'
60'Substitution · J. Puch ⇄ F. Bisanz
60'Substitution · A. Morales ⇄ F. Castro
Substitution · R. Mosqueira ⇄ R. Castro66'
Substitution · S. Gallucci ⇄ C. Auzqui73'
Substitution · J. Vega ⇄ O. Belinetz73'
78'Substitution · I. Rodriguez ⇄ F. Romero
Substitution · D. Ruiz Diaz ⇄ E. Aguirre84'
86'Substitution · F. Alvarez ⇄ G. Mendoza

What we announced

4/5

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals94%held
Under 3.5 goals85%held
Atlanta or draw76%held
- Atlanta took the lead in the 16th minute and never let it go.
- Atlanta took control early: opening goal in the 16th minute.
Under 2.5 goals67%held
Over 1.5 goals61%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtlanta 3rd, Agropecuario 14th (Group 2)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Atlanta (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.5% to 97.5% success rate, over 119 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,127 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes