Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 09/09.

Atlanta

2-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Club Atlético Güemes

What Janus-12 said

93%

Under 4.5 goals

97% success over 75 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 12/09, 19:00announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

84% success over 75 matches in this league
82%✓
82% success over 79 matches in this league
80%✓
60% success over 75 matches in this league
58%✓
57% success over 74 matches in this league
65%✓
52% success over 79 matches in this league
51%✓

Group 2

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	32	15	13	4	+17	58
2	Temperley	32	15	11	6	+12	56
3	Atlanta	32	17	4	11	+8	55
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	+8	54
5	Midland	32	13	9	10	+8	48
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	32	13	9	10	+4	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	+8	47
8	Colegiales	32	13	7	12	+1	46
9	San Martin S.J.	32	12	9	11	+2	45
10	San Martin T.	32	10	13	9	+3	43
11	Atl. Rafaela	32	11	9	12	-3	42
12	Quilmes	32	10	9	13	+3	39
13	Almagro	32	10	8	14	-10	38
14	Agropecuario	32	9	10	13	-9	37
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	-7	36
16	Patronato	32	6	16	10	-5	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	32	9	6	17	-9	33
18	Club Atlético Güemes	32	5	8	19	-31	23

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
Under 3.5 goals82%held
Atlanta or draw80%held
- Atlanta took the lead in the 36th minute and never let it go.
Under 2.5 goals58%held
Over 1.5 goals65%held
Atlanta to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtlanta 3rd, Club Atlético Güemes 18th (Group 2)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Atlanta (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match53′ Atlanta go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ sending-off, Club Atlético Güemes (M. Martinez)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.3% to 97.4% success rate, over 76 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Atlanta on the left, Club Atlético Güemes on the right.

First half

36'Goal · A. Quintana (assist : F. Alvarez)
Yellow card · F. Rizzi40'

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

47'Yellow card · R. Moreira
53'Goal · A. Dramisino (assist : A. Quintana)
Substitution · F. Rizzi ⇄ D. Veliz59'
Substitution · C. Leineker ⇄ B. Gerez59'
Yellow card · L. Guinazu60'
64'Yellow card · T. Rojas
68'Substitution · T. Castro Ponce ⇄ F. Romero
69'Substitution · A. Dramisino ⇄ J. Puch
Substitution · A. Bordon ⇄ M. Gerez72'
76'Substitution · I. Rodriguez ⇄ F. Bisanz
Yellow card · S. G. Sala77'
87'Substitution · F. Alvarez ⇄ A. Morales
87'Substitution · A. Quintana ⇄ F. Castro
Red card · M. Martinez90'

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
Under 3.5 goals82%held
Atlanta or draw80%held
- Atlanta took the lead in the 36th minute and never let it go.
Under 2.5 goals58%held
Over 1.5 goals65%held
Atlanta to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtlanta 3rd, Club Atlético Güemes 18th (Group 2)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Atlanta (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match53′ Atlanta go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ sending-off, Club Atlético Güemes (M. Martinez)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.3% to 97.4% success rate, over 76 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes