Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 6 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Deportivo Madryn

3-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–0

Ciudad de Bolívar

What Janus-12 said

94%

Under 4.5 goals

98% success over 62 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 23:01.

Sealed on 06/09, 20:00announced on 23/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

87% success over 62 matches in this league
83%✗
82% success over 66 matches in this league
79%✓
61% success over 62 matches in this league
65%✗
56% success over 61 matches in this league
63%✓

Group 1

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	+9	61
2	Deportivo Moron	32	17	7	8	+19	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	+13	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	32	14	11	7	+18	53
5	Colon Santa Fe	32	14	10	8	+14	52
6	Almirante Brown	32	12	10	10	+4	46
7	CA Estudiantes	32	12	9	11	+2	45
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	32	11	12	9	-1	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	+2	40
10	Chaco For Ever	32	9	10	13	-3	37
11	Defensores De Belgrano	32	8	13	11	-4	37
12	San Telmo	32	9	10	13	-8	37
13	Racing Cordoba	32	9	10	13	-10	37
14	Atletico Mitre	32	7	14	11	-10	35
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	-9	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	-10	33
17	San Miguel	32	6	13	13	-13	31
18	Acassuso	32	7	8	17	-13	29

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals94%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 45th minute, on the Ciudad de Bolívar side.
Under 3.5 goals83%lost
Deportivo Madryn or draw79%held
- Ciudad de Bolívar played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
Under 2.5 goals65%lost
Over 1.5 goals63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Madryn 4th, Ciudad de Bolívar 8th (Group 1)

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Ciudad de Bolívar (0-1)
During the match42′ equaliser, Deportivo Madryn (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match45′ sending-off, Ciudad de Bolívar (B. Quintana)
During the match71′ turnaround, Deportivo Madryn go ahead (2-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Deportivo Madryn go ahead (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 98.4% to 98.4% success rate, over 63 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,746 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Deportivo Madryn on the left, Ciudad de Bolívar on the right.

First half

Yellow card · A. Carrion24'
Goal · A. Gonzalez27'
Yellow card · B. Quintana30'
32'Yellow card · J. Cosi
Yellow card · E. Navarro40'
42'Goal · N. Solis
Red card · B. Quintana45'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

46'Substitution · C. Machado ⇄ F. Recalde
46'Substitution · J. Cosi ⇄ A. Dionisio
Substitution · A. Carrion ⇄ T. Guiacobini46'
Substitution · G. Sanchez ⇄ T. Fernandez46'
Yellow card · T. Fernandez57'
62'Substitution · L. Diarte ⇄ J. Peinipil
Substitution · A. Gonzalez ⇄ M. Gutierrez66'
67'Yellow card · F. Recalde
71'Goal · L. Silba (assist : M. Meli)
72'Yellow card · N. Servetto
Substitution · F. Mucignat ⇄ L. Villegas73'
75'Substitution · N. Servetto ⇄ D. Martinez
75'Substitution · L. Marinucci ⇄ E. Montagna
82'Yellow card · N. D. Ortiz
Substitution · K. Caraballo ⇄ F. Ilarregui84'
90+3'Goal · L. Silba
90+4'Yellow card

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals94%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 45th minute, on the Ciudad de Bolívar side.
Under 3.5 goals83%lost
Deportivo Madryn or draw79%held
- Ciudad de Bolívar played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
Under 2.5 goals65%lost
Over 1.5 goals63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Madryn 4th, Ciudad de Bolívar 8th (Group 1)

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Ciudad de Bolívar (0-1)
During the match42′ equaliser, Deportivo Madryn (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match45′ sending-off, Ciudad de Bolívar (B. Quintana)
During the match71′ turnaround, Deportivo Madryn go ahead (2-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Deportivo Madryn go ahead (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 98.4% to 98.4% success rate, over 63 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,746 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes